Stella (ALPHA) Price Prediction

Deep Dive

1. Exchange Exodus (Bearish Impact)

Overview:
ALPHA was delisted from Binance (July 4, 2025) and Crypto.com (July 2, 2025), erasing ~70% of its liquidity and triggering a 30% price drop. While ALPHA trades on smaller exchanges, daily volume remains 65% below pre-delisting levels.

What this means:
Reduced liquidity increases volatility and deters institutional interest. Historical data shows delisted tokens underperform peers by ~40% in the 90 days post-removal.

2. Product Roadmap Pivot (Mixed Impact)

Overview:
Stella halted its hybrid DEX (Trade) development after losing market-maker support post-delisting, refocusing on Stella Yields. The Yield product has generated $100K+ in fees via Polkadot integrations (@DeFiOracle_), but faces competition from established platforms like Aave.

What this means:
Narrowing to Yields simplifies execution but limits addressable market. Success hinges on onboarding major chains – a 25% TVL increase could offset exchange-related sell pressure.

3. Technical & On-Chain Signals (Neutral)

Overview:
ALPHA’s RSI-14 at 70.7 signals overbought conditions after a 32% weekly rally. However, its price holds above the 50-day SMA ($0.0163), with Fibonacci extensions suggesting resistance at $0.025.

What this means:
Momentum traders may take profits near $0.025, but sustained closes above $0.0212 could invalidate bearish technical setups.

Conclusion

Stella’s trajectory depends on executing its narrowed product vision while mitigating exchange-related liquidity risks. The Polkadot partnership and altcoin season tailwinds provide counterweights to delisting headwinds. Can ALPHA stakers (holding 22% of supply) offset sell-side pressure from disillusioned retail? Monitor Stella Yields’ TVL growth and September’s planned feature upgrades.