Deep Dive
1. Protocol Adapters Activation (Q4 2025)
Overview: Anoma’s cross-chain protocol adapters, currently on testnet, require a final audit and governance vote to activate on mainnet (Blockworks). These adapters allow developers to deploy intent-centric apps across Ethereum, Bitcoin, and Solana without rewriting code.
What this means: Bullish for XAN as adapter activation could drive developer adoption and increase network utility. Delays in audits or governance disputes pose execution risks.
2. Mainnet Phase 2 Rollout (2026)
Overview: After Ethereum integration, Anoma plans to support Ethereum L2s (Base, Optimism, Arbitrum) and later Bitcoin/Solana (Anoma Roadmap). This phase introduces private solving, FHE, and Chimera chains for customizable security models.
What this means: Neutral-to-bullish – expansion diversifies use cases but depends on technical execution. Competitors like Chainlink CCIP may challenge cross-chain dominance.
3. AnomaPay Mainnet Launch (2026)
Overview: AnomaPay, a zero-knowledge-proof-powered stablecoin router, is live on devnet and targets institutional partners before mainnet release. It enables private cross-chain settlements for enterprises (Blockworks).
What this means: Bullish if institutional adoption materializes, as fees and transaction volume could boost XAN demand. Regulatory scrutiny of privacy features is a key risk.
4. Season 2 Airdrop (TBA)
Overview: Season 1 airdrop claims closed on October 5, 2025. Season 2 will reward Shrimpers NFT holders, active Discord members, and app testers, with bonuses for long-term holders (Anoma Blog).
What this means: Neutral – while airdrops may temporarily boost engagement, fully unlocked Season 1 tokens contributed to XAN’s 60% post-listing crash (Crypto.news).
Conclusion
Anoma’s near-term catalysts hinge on protocol adapter activation and governance efficiency, while long-term success depends on cross-chain adoption and institutional use cases like AnomaPay. With the token down 28% weekly at $0.11, can decentralized governance stabilize volatility as new utilities go live?