Latest Aptos (APT) Price Analysis

TLDR Aptos (APT) rose 4.86% over the last 24h, outperforming Bitcoin (+4%) and Ethereum (+3.5%). Here are the main factors:

1. Bitso Partnership (Bullish)
2. WBTC Integration (Bullish)
3. RWA Growth & Technical Breakout (Mixed)

Deep Dive

1. Bitso Partnership (Bullish Impact)

Overview: Aptos Foundation partnered with Bitso (9M+ users) to enable instant USDT/USDC transfers across Latin America. The deal targets high-volume corridors like U.S.-Mexico remittances, leveraging Aptos’ sub-second finality and near-zero fees.

What this means: Latin America accounts for 46% of Bitso’s stablecoin transactions. This integration could drive APT demand as users access APT for gas fees and cross-border settlements. Monthly stablecoin volume on Aptos already exceeds $50B, and Bitso plans APT deposits/withdrawals soon.

What to look out for: Adoption metrics in Q3 2025 – particularly remittance volume growth and APT liquidity on Bitso.

2. WBTC Integration (Bullish Impact)

Overview: Wrapped Bitcoin (WBTC) launched on Aptos via LayerZero/Stargate, enabling Bitcoin liquidity to flow into Aptos DeFi protocols like Aries Markets and Thala.

What this means: Bitcoin’s $265B market cap brings deeper liquidity to Aptos. DeFi protocols can now offer BTC-collateralized loans or yield strategies, potentially boosting APT’s utility as the base gas token.

What to look out for: TVL growth in Aptos DeFi – currently at $668M, up 56% in 30 days.

3. RWA Growth & Technical Breakout (Mixed Impact)

Overview: Aptos ranks #3 in tokenized RWAs ($538M TVL) behind Ethereum and zkSync. Meanwhile, APT broke above its 30-day SMA ($4.57) with bullish MACD divergence.

What this means: Institutional RWA activity (BlackRock’s BUIDL, Franklin Templeton) supports long-term demand, but APT remains 30% below its 2025 high. Technically, $4.89 (23.6% Fib) is the next resistance.

Key risk: 32.5% of APT’s supply remains locked, with monthly unlocks creating selling pressure.

Conclusion

Aptos’ price rise reflects strategic partnerships expanding real-world utility (Bitso, WBTC) and technical momentum from oversold levels. However, token unlocks and competition from Solana/Sui in RWAs could cap gains.

Key watch: Can APT hold above $4.60 (50-day EMA) amid Friday’s Fed speech and broader market volatility?

TLDR
Aptos (APT) fell 1.18% to $4.40 in the past 24h, underperforming the broader crypto market (-1.19%). Key drivers:

1. Market-wide risk-off sentiment ahead of Fed Chair Powell’s Jackson Hole speech
2. Technical weakness below critical moving averages ($4.57 SMA7)
3. Stablecoin competition as Wyoming’s state-backed FRNT excluded Aptos

Deep Dive

1. Macro Risk Aversion (Bearish Impact)

Overview:
Crypto markets dipped alongside traditional assets (Nasdaq -0.9%) as investors braced for potential hawkish signals from Powell’s Friday speech. Bitcoin fell 9% from its July 2025 peak, dragging altcoins like APT lower.

What this means:
Aptos’ -1.18% drop reflects its beta to Bitcoin (-1.19% vs APT’s -1.18%) in risk-off conditions. With 85% odds priced for a September Fed rate cut (down from 98% last week), traders reduced exposure to higher-risk assets.

Key watch: Powell’s speech at 2 PM UTC today (Aug 22).

2. Technical Breakdown (Bearish Impact)

Overview:
APT broke below its 7-day SMA ($4.57) and 200-day SMA ($5.15). The RSI (44.84) shows neutral momentum, while MACD (-0.0185) signals bearish divergence.

What this means:
Price sits near Fibonacci support at $4.40 (78.6% retracement). A close below $4.38 (July 2025 low) could trigger algorithmic selling. Only 14% of APT holders are profitable at current prices (IntoTheBlock), increasing sell pressure.

Key watch: $4.06 swing low from July 19.

3. Ecosystem Developments (Mixed Impact)

Overview:
While Aptos partnered with Bitso to enable USDT/USDC transfers in Latin America (The Daily Hodl), Wyoming’s state-backed FRNT stablecoin chose Solana and Sei over Aptos for its launch.

What this means:
The Bitso deal (serving 9M users) is a long-term positive but failed to offset sentiment damage from the FRNT snub. APT’s monthly stablecoin volume ($50B) now faces competition from government-backed alternatives.

Conclusion

APT’s dip reflects macro caution and technical breakdowns, outweighing its LatAm growth narrative. Key watch: Whether $4.40 Fibonacci support holds post-Powell speech – a breach could accelerate declines toward $4.06.