Arkham (ARKM) Price Prediction

Deep Dive

1. Token Unlock Schedule (Bearish Impact)

Overview:
ARKM’s circulating supply is set to increase from 225M (Sept 2025) to 550M by December 2025 and 916M by December 2027, per supply schedule data. Core team and investor tokens (37.3% of total supply) unlock linearly over 3 years, creating persistent sell pressure.

What this means:
Dilution risks could suppress price rallies unless offset by proportional demand. For example, the 34% 7-day price surge (to $0.646) coincides with a low circulating supply (22.5% of total). Long-term holders may face headwinds as unlocks accelerate.

2. AI Analytics Demand (Bullish Impact)

Overview:
Arkham’s recent upgrades—like AI Insights tracking whale positions, exchange flows, and Hyperliquid derivatives—position it as a critical tool for traders. Partnerships with TradingView (announcement) and Mantle Network expand usability.

What this means:
Institutional interest in on-chain intelligence (e.g., tracking BlackRock’s ETH trades) could drive ARKM utility. The platform’s $100M+ daily whale transaction alerts (example) highlight real-time value, potentially increasing token demand for premium features.

3. Regulatory & Privacy Debates (Mixed Impact)

Overview:
Arkham’s mission to deanonymize blockchains has drawn criticism for privacy concerns. However, demand for compliance tools grows as governments track crypto holdings (e.g., US holding $24B BTC per Arkham data).

What this means:
Regulatory crackdowns on privacy coins or stricter KYC rules could indirectly benefit Arkham’s services. Conversely, backlash against its “entity-based intelligence” model might deter users, weighing on adoption and ARKM’s price.

Conclusion

ARKM’s price trajectory hinges on balancing supply inflation from unlocks against demand for its AI-driven analytics. Watch circulating supply growth (next unlock: +12M tokens monthly) and institutional adoption metrics (e.g., exchange inflow/outflow alerts). Will Arkham’s utility outpace its dilution?