Bitcoin SV (BSV) Price Prediction

Deep Dive

1. Teranode Scalability Push (Bullish Impact)

Overview: The Teranode testnet launched on September 30, 2025, achieving 1 million transactions per second (TPS) with sub-cent fees. Its mainnet release, expected soon, positions BSV as a contender for enterprise blockchain use cases like micropayments and AI data logging.

What this means: Successful mainnet adoption could attract developers and enterprises needing high throughput, directly boosting BSV’s utility and demand. Historical examples (e.g., Ethereum’s Merge) show protocol upgrades often precede price rallies if adoption follows.

2. Legal & Exchange Risks (Bearish Impact)

Overview: A UK court dismissed most claims from BSV investors in May 2025, ruling delistings (e.g., Binance, Kraken) didn’t entitle holders to speculative gains. However, BSV remains absent from top exchanges, limiting liquidity.

What this means: Reduced legal liability is positive, but restricted exchange access caps retail participation. Turnover (0.09) signals thin markets, amplifying volatility. Past delistings (2021–2024) correlate with BSV underperforming BCH by 71% since 2018.

3. Sentiment & Technical Signals (Mixed Impact)

Overview: BSV’s RSI-7 sits at 78.39 (overbought), while its 200-day EMA ($32.04) looms 13% above the current $28.40. However, the 7-day SMA ($27.3) suggests short-term bullish momentum.

What this means: A pullback to $24–$26 (Fibonacci 38.2–50% retracement) is plausible, but breaking the 200-day EMA could trigger a rally toward $36.52 (200% extension). Watch for volume spikes to confirm direction.

Conclusion

BSV’s future hinges on Teranode’s real-world adoption countering exchange limitations and technical overextension. While scalability milestones could reignite interest, thin liquidity and regulatory scars keep risks elevated. Will Teranode’s mainnet trigger a “Cambrian explosion” of apps—or fade as a niche experiment?