Deep Dive
1. Technical Resistance (Bearish Impact)
Overview:
BLAST trades at $0.00245, below its 7-day SMA ($0.00255) and 30-day SMA ($0.00253). The RSI-7 (40.91) shows neutral momentum, but failure to breach the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement ($0.00275) signals weak bullish conviction.
What this means:
Traders often interpret prices below key moving averages as a bearish signal, prompting profit-taking or short-term exits. The lack of upward momentum despite a mildly positive MACD histogram (+0.000018) suggests limited buying interest.
What to look out for:
A sustained break above $0.00255 (7-day SMA) could signal trend reversal, while a drop below $0.00234 (recent swing low) may accelerate declines.
2. Token Unlock Concerns (Bearish Impact)
Overview:
BLAST faced a $2.29M token unlock on August 25, 2025 (1.98% of circulating supply), part of a pattern criticized in projects like Celestia and Blast itself, which lost 96% of its TVL post-unlock in 2024.
What this means:
Unlocks increase sellable supply, often leading to price dips as early investors or teams liquidate holdings. BLAST’s 24h volume ($6.03M) is just 5.3% of its market cap, indicating low liquidity to absorb large sell orders.
What to look out for:
Monitoring Blast’s vesting schedule for future unlocks, which could renew dilution fears.
3. Altcoin Market Rotation (Mixed Impact)
Overview:
The crypto Altcoin Season Index rose to 71 (up 51% monthly), favoring newer or high-momentum tokens. BLAST’s 90-day return (+2.49%) lags behind ETH (+5.2% weekly) and Layer-2 rivals like Mantle (+50% in August 2025).
What this means:
Investors may be rotating capital to outperformers, leaving BLAST in a liquidity vacuum. However, its Ethereum Layer-2 positioning and native yield features could regain traction if DeFi activity rebounds.
Conclusion
Blast’s minor dip reflects technical resistance, unlock-driven supply pressures, and competition in a rotating altcoin market. While its fundamentals as an Ethereum L2 with yield mechanisms offer long-term potential, short-term sentiment remains fragile.
Key watch: Can BLAST hold the $0.00234 support level, or will broader market shifts toward AI/meme coins extend its underperformance?