Deep Dive
1. Geopolitical Headwinds (Bearish Impact)
Overview:
The U.S. imposed 50% tariffs on BRICS members Brazil and India on August 7 (CoinMarketCap), escalating trade tensions. BRICS leaders condemned the measures as "unjustified blackmail," but failed to present a unified response plan.
What this means:
Investors perceive heightened regulatory/economic risks for BRICS-affiliated projects. The chain’s narrative as a tool for BRICS financial independence faces credibility challenges amid real-world bloc disunity.
What to watch:
Emergency BRICS summit outcomes (scheduled September 8–9) regarding retaliatory measures or blockchain integration plans.
2. Technical Breakdown (Bearish Impact)
Overview:
Price broke below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level ($17.11) and 30-day SMA ($17.96). RSI(14) at 45.76 shows weakening momentum.
What this means:
The breakdown triggered stop-losses and algorithmic selling. With MACD histogram turning negative (-0.48734), bearish pressure may persist until $16.07 (recent swing low).
Key level:
A sustained close above $17.11 could signal reversal potential.
3. Development Delays (Mixed Impact)
Overview:
BRICS Pay – a blockchain-based payment system central to the chain’s utility – remains in development limbo due to technical hurdles (CCN).
What this means:
While the long-term vision retains speculative interest, the lack of functional milestones (e.g., cross-border settlement volume) leaves price vulnerable to macro sentiment shifts.
Conclusion
BRICS Chain faces a triple threat: tariff-driven risk aversion, technical breakdowns, and delayed blockchain adoption. While oversold conditions could prompt short-term bounces, sustained recovery likely requires progress on BRICS Pay integration or de-escalation in U.S.-BRICS tensions.
Key watch: Can BRICS leaders present concrete blockchain milestones at their emergency summit this week?