Latest Cetus Protocol (CETUS) Price Analysis

Deep Dive

1. Technical Downtrend (Bearish Impact)

Overview:
CETUS trades below critical moving averages (7-day SMA: $0.0765; 30-day SMA: $0.0835) and tests Fibonacci support at $0.0701. The RSI-14 at 37.04 signals bearish momentum but not yet oversold.

What this means:
Sustained trading below $0.076 suggests weak buying interest. The MACD histogram (-0.000001) shows near-zero momentum, reflecting indecision. Traders may wait for a clear break above $0.076 or a dip to $0.070 before re-entering.

What to watch:
A close below $0.070 could trigger panic selling toward the 2025 low of $0.057 (May 2025 hack aftermath).

2. Altcoin Liquidity Drain (Bearish Impact)

Overview:
Bitcoin dominance rose to 58.48% (up 0.22% in 24h), while the Altcoin Season Index fell 30.3% weekly to 46. Capital is fleeing speculative assets like CETUS for BTC amid muted risk appetite.

What this means:
CETUS’s 24h volume of $12.76M (-2.86% vs. prior day) shows thinning liquidity, amplifying downside volatility. The token’s 0.207 turnover ratio (volume/market cap) indicates moderate liquidity risk.

3. Post-Hack Recovery Challenges (Mixed Impact)

Overview:
CETUS remains -58.43% below its 2024 peak after May’s $223M exploit (GoPlus Security). While 85-99% of funds were recovered via Sui validator intervention, protocol upgrades and compensation distributions (15% of supply) have slowed momentum.

What this means:
Despite June’s relaunch and Binance Wallet integration, trust rebuilds slowly in DeFi. CETUS’s 30-day active addresses remain 40% below pre-hack levels (Cetus Protocol), signaling reduced network activity.

Conclusion

CETUS’s dip reflects technical headwinds, altcoin sector outflows, and delayed post-crisis recovery traction. While the protocol’s upgrades and Sui ecosystem growth (17M accounts) offer long-term potential, short-term sentiment hinges on reclaiming $0.076 resistance.

Key watch: Can CETUS hold $0.070 support amid rising Bitcoin dominance, or will it retest May’s lows? Monitor Sui’s DeFi TVL trends for directional cues.

Deep Dive

1. Ecosystem Momentum (Bullish Impact)

Overview:
CETUS has maintained $1B+ weekly trading volume for four consecutive weeks (CetusProtocol), driven by Sui DeFi adoption and integrations like Binance Wallet swaps.

What this means:
High volume signals sustained utility as Sui’s primary liquidity hub. Recent upgrades (e.g., Cetus Pro analytics dashboard and FullSailFi aggregator routes) improve trader efficiency, incentivizing platform engagement.

What to look out for:
Q3 2025 user growth metrics and TVL trends post-relaunch.

2. Technical Rebound (Neutral Impact)

Overview:
CETUS’s RSI (14-day: 40.9) remains near oversold territory after a 35% decline over 60 days. The MACD histogram turned positive (+0.000227), suggesting weakening bearish momentum.

What this means:
Traders may interpret oversold conditions as a buying opportunity, though resistance looms at the 30-day SMA ($0.0842). Volume remains 26% below the 30-day average, indicating tentative participation.

3. Post-Hack Recovery Progress (Mixed Impact)

Overview:
Cetus recovered 73% of May’s stolen funds ($162M) and relaunched with compensation plans (CoinMarketCap).

What this means:
The structured 15% CETUS token allocation to victims (5% immediate, 10% vested) reduces sell pressure from panicked LPs. However, lingering trust issues persist, with CETUS still down 55% YTD.

Conclusion

CETUS’s minor gain reflects cautious optimism around ecosystem growth and oversold technicals, tempered by post-hack recovery risks. Key watch: Sui’s August DeFi TVL trends and Cetus’s compensation redemption rates (next 48h).