Latest Cetus Protocol (CETUS) Price Analysis

Deep Dive

1. Security Concerns (Bearish Impact)

Overview: CETUS remains vulnerable to sentiment shifts after a May 2025 exploit drained $223M from its Sui-based DEX. While $162M was recovered, the protocol’s compensation plan (15% CETUS token allocation) failed to fully restore confidence.

What this means: Investors remain wary of unresolved smart contract risks and potential sell pressure from unlocked compensation tokens. The 30-day price decline (-6.98%) reflects sustained caution.

What to look out for: Progress on legal recovery of remaining stolen funds and protocol-level security audits.

2. Technical Resistance (Bearish Impact)

Overview: CETUS faces resistance at $0.104 (23.6% Fibonacci level), with its 7-day SMA ($0.095) acting as dynamic resistance. The RSI (54.26) suggests neutral momentum, but MACD shows weakening bullish divergence.

What this means: Repeated failure to hold above $0.095 signals accumulation by short-term traders rather than long-term holders. The 200-day SMA ($0.1205) remains a distant recovery target.

Key level to watch: A close below $0.0896 (78.6% Fibonacci) could trigger another 10-15% drop.

3. Market Dynamics (Mixed Impact)

Overview: While the total crypto market dipped slightly (-0.74%), CETUS’s sharper decline aligns with a shift toward Bitcoin (dominance +0.19% in 24h) and reduced altcoin liquidity (spot volume -28.7%).

What this means: Traders are favoring lower-risk assets amid neutral market sentiment (Fear & Greed Index: 52). CETUS’s 0.197 turnover ratio indicates moderate liquidity risk, amplifying volatility.

Conclusion

CETUS’s decline stems from unresolved security concerns, technical resistance, and a risk-off tilt in crypto markets. While the protocol’s Q3 product upgrades (e.g., Cetus Tide RFQ swaps) offer long-term potential, short-term sentiment remains fragile.

Key watch: Can CETUS hold above its 30-day SMA ($0.0952) to prevent a retest of May’s $0.084 lows? Monitor Sui ecosystem developments and BTC dominance trends for directional cues.

Deep Dive

1. Aggregator Upgrade & Liquidity Boost (Bullish Impact)

Overview: On August 15, Cetus upgraded its aggregator to integrate FullSailFi’s dynamic fee design, deepening liquidity and optimizing swap pricing for Sui traders (Cetus Protocol).
What this means: Improved execution attracts higher trading volumes, directly benefiting CETUS’ utility and demand. The 24h volume surged 56.1% to $21.2M, confirming renewed activity.

2. Technical Breakout Above Pivot (Mixed Impact)

Overview: CETUS broke above its pivot point ($0.09626) and trades at $0.0997, with RSI14 at 52.21 (neutral) and MACD turning positive.
What this means: Short-term bullish momentum is confirmed, but the 200-day SMA at $0.1206 looms as resistance. Traders are watching the $0.104 Fibonacci level (50% retracement) for a sustained rally.

3. User Growth & Ecosystem Momentum (Bullish Impact)

Overview: Cetus surpassed 17M accounts on August 13, cementing its position as Sui’s most-used DeFi app (Cetus Protocol).
What this means: Network effects are strengthening post-May 2025 exploit recovery. The protocol’s Q2 relaunch included institutional-grade tools (e.g., Cetus Pro analytics), aligning with Sui’s rising TVL and Binance integrations.

Conclusion

CETUS’ rise reflects a blend of tactical upgrades, technical tailwinds, and user-base resilience. While bullish in the near term, the 200-day SMA and lingering post-hack skepticism could cap gains. Key watch: Can CETUS hold above $0.096 support amid rising altcoin rotation?