Deep Dive
1. Technical Correction (Bearish Impact)
Overview: CHEQ’s 7-day RSI hit 81.09 (above 70 = overbought), its highest since July 2025. Prices retraced from $0.033 to $0.027 (-17%) as traders locked in gains.
What this means: Overbought signals often precede corrections, especially in low-liquidity assets like CHEQ (24h volume: $1M). The pullback aligns with Fibonacci retracement support at $0.0286 (23.6% level), but a break below could target $0.0258.
What to watch: Whether the 30-day EMA ($0.0179) holds as support.
Overview: The VERA secure messaging platform (Vera), powered by cheqd’s identity tools, launched in South Africa on August 28.
What this means: While partnerships typically boost sentiment, the “buy the rumor, sell the news” pattern emerged. The 53% price surge on August 28 (KuCoin India) likely front-ran the launch, with traders exiting positions post-event.
3. Altcoin Liquidity Crunch (Bearish Impact)
Overview: CHEQ’s 24h trading volume dropped 40% to $1M, while turnover (volume/market cap) fell to 5.7% – below the 10% threshold for stable liquidity.
What this means: Thin order books amplify volatility. The sell-off lacked counterbalancing buy pressure, accelerating losses. KuCoin dominates 85% of CHEQ’s volume, increasing exchange-specific risk.
Conclusion
CHEQ’s decline reflects profit-taking after a parabolic rally, compounded by low liquidity and post-event volatility. While its AI/identity use cases (ASI Alliance) retain long-term potential, traders are recalibrating after extreme moves.
Key watch: Can CHEQ stabilize above the 30-day EMA ($0.0179), or will the correction deepen toward $0.0258 Fibonacci support?