Latest DappRadar (RADAR) Price Analysis

Deep Dive

1. Primary catalyst: NFT/gaming sector collapse

DappRadar’s core use cases—tracking NFT and gaming dApps—faced severe headwinds:
- NFT lending volume fell 97% from its 2024 peak (DappRadar)
- Blockchain gaming’s daily active wallets dropped 10% in April 2025 to 4.8M, matching DeFi’s shrinking dominance (DappRadar)
- Investor focus shifted to AI dApps, which saw 23% user growth in May 2025 (DappRadar)

This sector rotation likely reduced utility demand for RADAR tokens, which power DappRadar’s analytics platform.

2. Technical context

The breakdown below critical levels accelerated selling:
- Price sliced through the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement ($0.00257) and 200-day EMA ($0.00362)
- RSI (14) at 43.43 shows no oversold signal, leaving room for further downside
- Volume plummeted 87% to $1.19M, indicating panic selling overwhelmed buyers

Conclusion

RADAR’s plunge reflects fading NFT/gaming momentum, technical breakdowns, and whale-dominated supply magnifying volatility. With AI dApps now rivaling its core sectors, could DappRadar pivot its tokenomics to align with Web3’s AI shift?

Deep Dive

1. Primary catalyst

DappRadar’s May 2025 report (Gherghelas) revealed AI dApps reached 4.8M daily active wallets (+23% MoM), challenging DeFi/gaming dominance. This positions RADAR as a proxy for AI’s Web3 adoption, coinciding with its price surge. SubHub, a new AI dApp highlighted in the report, saw 82K daily wallets, reflecting growing utility beyond speculative use cases.

2. Technical context

• MACD histogram flipped positive (+0.000027) for the first time since early May, signaling momentum shift.
• Price broke above 10-day SMA ($0.00317) and 50-day SMA ($0.00320), with RSI-14 at 55.24 (neutral, room for upside).
• Next resistance at $0.00404 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement), 25% above current levels.

3. Market dynamics

24h trading volume surged 188% to $9.55M – the highest since March 2025 – with turnover ratio at 2.58, indicating liquid markets absorbing buys. The rally occurred despite neutral crypto-wide sentiment (Fear & Greed Index: 48), suggesting RADAR-specific drivers.

Conclusion

RADAR’s surge combines fundamental relevance to AI’s Web3 expansion and technical momentum, though whale concentration (92% supply held by top 10 wallets) risks volatility. Can RADAR sustain gains if AI dApp growth plateaus in June?