TLDR
Doge Killer (LEASH) fell 9.2% over the last 24h, underperforming the broader crypto market (-0.12%). The drop extends a 31.7% weekly decline, driven by three key factors:
- Supply Shock (Bearish Impact) – A 10% token mint contradicted fixed-supply claims, eroding trust.
- Security Concerns (Bearish Impact) – A hacked wallet linked to LEASH sparked scam fears despite reassurances.
- Technical Breakdown (Bearish Impact) – Oversold RSI and bearish MACD signal weak momentum.
Deep Dive
1. Supply Shock From Unplanned Token Mint (Bearish Impact)
Overview: On August 11, 10,765 new LEASH tokens (10% of supply) were minted via a hidden “rebase pathway” in the contract, contradicting prior claims of a fixed supply. Lead developer Kaal Dhairya called this a “trust breach” (U.Today).
What this means: The unplanned supply increase dilutes holder value and exposes centralization risks despite Shiba Inu’s decentralized branding. Proposals for LEASH v2 (a non-rebase contract) aim to restore confidence but require DAO approval, creating uncertainty.
What to look out for: DAO voting timelines and LEASH v2 contract details.
2. Security Scare From Compromised Wallet (Bearish Impact)
Overview: A Shiba Inu Deployer wallet (0xA221...1494) linked to LEASH was hacked on August 14. While developers clarified no critical systems were affected, the wallet could still launch scam tokens (U.Today).
What this means: The incident triggered fears of phishing attacks and fake token launches, pressuring LEASH holders to exit preemptively. Though unrelated to LEASH’s core contract, the association amplified negative sentiment.
3. Technical Weakness (Bearish Impact)
Overview: LEASH’s price ($78.02) trades below all key moving averages (7-day SMA: $91.61, 30-day SMA: $143.78). The RSI-7 (24.74) signals extreme oversold conditions, but the MACD histogram (-8.39) shows bearish momentum persists.
What this means: Technical traders interpret the breakdown below $135.63 (50% Fibonacci retracement) as a bearish continuation signal. Weak volume ($1.75M, -2% daily) suggests limited buying interest to reverse the trend.
What to look out for: A close above the 7-day EMA ($93.93) could signal short-term relief.
Conclusion
LEASH’s drop reflects a perfect storm of supply shock, security fears, and technical breakdowns. While oversold conditions might invite a bounce, structural risks (supply control, DAO delays) could prolong downward pressure.
Key watch: Will the DAO fast-track LEASH v2 to address supply concerns, or will skepticism deepen?