Latest dYdX (ethDYDX) (ETHDYDX) Price Analysis

By CMC AI
29 September 2025 11:18AM (UTC+0)

Why is ETHDYDX’s price up today? (29/09/2025)

TLDR

dYdX (ethDYDX) rose 0.45% over the last 24h, underperforming the broader crypto market’s +2.34% gain. The muted uptick aligns with its 7-day (-3.57%) and 30-day (-3.41%) downtrends. Key drivers:

  1. Buyback program impact – July’s governance-approved buyback reduced circulating supply, creating upward pressure.

  2. Strategic acquisition – Integration of Pocket Protector (July) may boost platform scalability and user growth.

  3. Technical rebound – Price nears key Fibonacci support, attracting short-term traders.

Deep Dive

1. Buyback Program (Bullish Impact)

Overview: A July 17 governance proposal authorized dYdX to buy and stake ETHDYDX tokens using protocol revenue, reducing sell pressure.

What this means: By removing tokens from circulation, the program tightens supply—a bullish signal if demand holds. However, the 24h trading volume ($9.5M) remains 62% below its 30-day average, suggesting weak momentum.

What to watch: Continued buyback execution and staking activity, which could stabilize prices if sustained.

2. Pocket Protector Acquisition (Mixed Impact)

Overview: dYdX’s July acquisition of @pp_trading aims to enhance social trading features and execution infrastructure (The Block).

What this means: While the deal could attract new users long-term, its price impact appears delayed—ETHDYDX fell 3.4% in July post-announcement. Recent developer updates (e.g., August 14’s margin-trading guide) hint at efforts to reignite engagement.

3. Technical Support Zone (Neutral Impact)

Overview: ETHDYDX trades near the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level ($0.597), a key support zone. The RSI (47.6) shows neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram (-0.0065) signals bearish divergence.

What this means: Traders may interpret the $0.55–$0.60 range as a accumulation zone, but weak volume and resistance at $0.71 (23.6% Fib) limit upside.

Conclusion

ETHDYDX’s minor rebound reflects buyback-driven supply constraints and oversold technicals, but broader bearish trends persist due to low liquidity and muted platform growth.

Key watch: Can the token hold $0.55 support, or will fading buyback momentum trigger a retest of July’s $0.55 low?

Why is ETHDYDX’s price down today? (26/09/2025)

TLDR

dYdX (ethDYDX) fell 4.82% over the last 24h, underperforming the broader crypto market (-2.14%). The drop extends a 7-day decline of 16.08%, driven by technical weakness and muted catalysts. Here are the main factors:

  1. Bearish Technical Setup – Oversold RSI and MACD signal weak momentum.

  2. Market-Wide Risk Aversion – Crypto fear index at 32 amplifies selling pressure.

  3. Lack of Recent Catalysts – No major updates to offset bearish sentiment.

Deep Dive

1. Bearish Technical Setup (Bearish Impact)

Overview: ETHDYDX’s 7-day RSI (31.66) nears oversold territory (30), while the MACD histogram (-0.008693) confirms bearish momentum. The price ($0.572) sits below key SMAs (7-day: $0.635, 30-day: $0.626), acting as resistance.

What this means: Technical traders likely interpreted the RSI dip and MACD crossover as signals to exit, exacerbating selling. Weakness below the 7-day SMA suggests short-term bearish dominance.

What to look out for: A sustained break above $0.596 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement) could signal reversal potential.

2. Market-Wide Risk Aversion (Bearish Impact)

Overview: The crypto fear index hit 32 (“Fear”) on 26 September 2025, down from 41 (“Neutral”) a day prior. Total crypto market cap fell 2.14% in 24h, with altcoins underperforming Bitcoin (BTC dominance: +58.13%).

What this means: ETHDYDX’s higher beta likely magnified losses as traders rotated to safer assets. Derivatives data shows rising open interest (+7.92% in 24h), hinting at leveraged short positions.

3. Lack of Recent Catalysts (Neutral Impact)

Overview: The last major update was a token buyback program (17 July), now priced in. Recent news (e.g., Caldera listing on 22 July) lacked volume impact.

What this means: Without fresh fundamentals, ETHDYDX remains vulnerable to macro sentiment and technical flows.

Conclusion

ETHDYDX’s decline reflects technical exhaustion, risk-off rotation, and a vacuum of near-term catalysts. Traders should monitor Bitcoin’s stability and ETHDYDX’s ability to reclaim $0.596.

Key watch: Can ETHDYDX hold the 78.6% Fibonacci support ($0.597) to prevent a retest of July’s $0.553 low?

CMC AI can make mistakes. Not financial advice.