Deep Dive
1. Growth via Pendle Loops Sparks Reflexive Risks (19 August 2025)
Overview:
sUSDe’s supply growth is increasingly tied to Pendle strategies, where users lock tokens to earn fixed yields (8-11% APY) and borrow against them on Aave. Over $3.4B (30% of total USDe) is locked in Pendle’s September maturity pools, boosted by Ethena’s points campaign offering a 70x “sats” multiplier. This creates a flywheel: higher ENA token prices ($0.67 as of August) raise the implied value of rewards, attracting more liquidity.
What this means:
This is neutral-to-bullish for sUSDe in the short term, as capital inflows reinforce demand. However, the reliance on leverage (e.g., Aave’s $4B PT collateral) increases systemic risk if yields compress or ENA’s price declines. Analysts warn that a market downturn could trigger cascading liquidations.
(Blockworks)
2. Aave Exposure Hits $6.6B Amid Risk Warnings (18 August 2025)
Overview:
sUSDe-linked assets on Aave now total $6.6B, including $4.2B in Pendle principal tokens (PTs) and $1.1B in staked sUSDe. Chaos Labs flagged risks in August, noting that Ethena’s own $580M reserves deposited into Aave could strain liquidity during redemptions.
What this means:
This is bearish for systemic stability but bullish for short-term yields. While the looping strategy amplifies sUSDe’s APY (currently 4.72%), Chaos Labs recommends caps on Aave’s USDe exposure and dynamic borrowing rates to mitigate unwind risks. Market health now hinges on sustained positive funding rates.
(The Block)
3. Ethena Surpasses $10B TVL Milestone (12 August 2025)
Overview:
Ethena’s TVL reached $11.89B, making it the sixth-largest DeFi protocol and the second non-staking project after Aave. sUSDe’s 4.72% APY and deep integration into Pendle/Aave strategies drove this growth, with USDe’s market cap hitting $10.48B.
What this means:
This is bullish for sUSDe’s credibility, signaling institutional-grade adoption. However, turnover remains low ($371M daily volume vs. $10B+ market cap), suggesting most holders prioritize yield farming over trading—a stability risk if redemptions spike.
(CoinMarketCap)
Conclusion
sUSDe’s rise reflects DeFi’s appetite for structured yield, but its dependence on leverage and reflexive tokenomics introduces fragility. While TVL milestones and integrations validate its utility, the protocol’s next test will be navigating a potential unwind cycle. Will Ethena’s reserve buffer (1.18% as of July) prove sufficient if the flywheel reverses?