Fuel Network (FUEL) Price Prediction

Deep Dive

1. Vesting Restructure & Liquidity Plan (Mixed Impact)

Overview: A proposal seeks to unlock 3.31B FUEL immediately (vs. 24-month linear vesting) and deploy $4.7M as a buy wall at $0.010. Current holders are ~69% underwater (CEX VWAP: $0.047 vs. price: $0.00561).

What this means: While removing vesting uncertainty could restore confidence, unlocking 30% of the circulating supply risks near-term dilution. The $0.010 floor (~78% above current price) may attract buyers but depends on sustained buy-side execution.

2. EigenDA Integration & Scalability (Bullish Impact)

Overview: Fuel migrated data availability to EigenDA on July 15, 2025, boosting throughput from 600 TPS to 5K TPS (Fuel Network). Partnerships like LayerSwap’s zero-fee Fuel↔Base bridging enhance utility.

What this means: Higher TPS and lower fees position Fuel as a contender for high-frequency DeFi apps. Successful adoption by projects like O2 (demanding low latency) could drive network usage and FUEL demand.

3. Fuel Forge Ecosystem Growth (Bullish Impact)

Overview: The upcoming Fuel Forge event (August 2025) showcases ZK-powered perpetuals and intent-based DeFi protocols. Apps like Mira DEX (rebooted with faster execution) aim to leverage Fuel’s parallelized VM.

What this means: Developer traction could increase transaction volume and staking activity. However, competing L2s (e.g., Arbitrum, Base) with larger TVL pose adoption risks.

Conclusion

FUEL’s price hinges on balancing supply shocks from vesting changes against ecosystem growth catalysts. The $0.010 buy wall and EigenDA’s technical edge offer upside potential, but macro factors (altcoin sentiment at 62/100) and vesting-related selling pressure remain risks.

Watch: Can FUEL hold above its 200-day EMA ($0.0097) post-Forge, or will unlocked tokens overwhelm buy-side support?