Deep Dive
1. Technical Context
FX’s 7-day RSI reached 81.6 (above 70 = overbought) before the drop, creating natural sell pressure. The price fell below the critical 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ($0.1637), accelerating downward momentum. While the MACD histogram showed bullish divergence (+0.0022), the MACD line remained below its signal line, failing to confirm sustained upside.
The 24-hour trading volume of $1.05 million (-2.5% from prior) lacked the fuel to absorb sell orders, exacerbating the drop. Low liquidity (turnover ratio 1.06%) means even moderate selling disproportionately impacts price.
2. Market Dynamics
FX underperformed the broader crypto market (-2.2% vs. -12.5%), suggesting coin-specific factors. The Fear & Greed Index at 70 (Greed) shows traders remain risk-on overall, but altcoins with weaker fundamentals like FX saw sharper corrections.
Whales control 84% of FX’s supply, making it vulnerable to concentrated selling. While 88% of addresses are long-term holders, the token’s 30-day price correlation with BTC fell to 0.64 (vs. 0.78 average), reducing Bitcoin’s stabilizing influence.
Conclusion
FX’s drop appears driven by technical rebalancing after overbought conditions, compounded by thin liquidity and whale-driven volatility. Watch whether the price stabilizes above the $0.1185 swing low – a break below could signal deeper correction.
Could FX’s AI pivot (via Pundi AI’s NVIDIA partnership) reignite demand if development milestones are met?