Deep Dive
1. Network Upgrade Aftermath (Bearish Impact)
Overview: Binance completed the Fusionist network upgrade and hard fork on August 20, temporarily suspending deposits/withdrawals. While upgrades often signal long-term progress, the event coincided with a 46.85% drop in ACE’s 24h trading volume to $4.38M.
What this means: Traders likely sold ACE positions pre-upgrade to avoid potential technical risks, compounded by reduced liquidity during withdrawal halts. Post-upgrade price action failed to rebound, suggesting weak follow-through demand.
2. Technical Breakdown (Bearish Impact)
Overview: ACE broke below its 7-day SMA ($0.55) and 30-day SMA ($0.56), now trading at $0.528. The RSI-7 sits at 35.85 (oversold threshold: 30), while MACD shows bearish divergence (-0.0047 vs. signal line).
What this means: These metrics reflect sustained selling pressure. A retest of the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level ($0.631) failed, with the next support at the July swing low of $0.486. High turnover (11.5%) indicates volatile, speculative trading.
3. Broader Market Drag (Neutral Impact)
Overview: Total crypto market cap fell 2.35% ($3.81T), with Bitcoin dominance rising to 59.08%. ACE’s 24h decline outpaced the market slightly, suggesting coin-specific factors amplified the drop.
What this means: Neutral-to-bearish macro conditions (awaiting Fed’s Jackson Hole speech on August 22) reduced risk appetite for altcoins. However, ACE’s underperformance versus peers hints at weaker relative strength.
Conclusion
ACE’s drop stems from profit-taking post-upgrade, technical breakdowns, and cautious market sentiment. While the hard fork could improve network efficiency longer-term, short-term momentum favors bears.
Key watch: Can ACE hold the $0.486 support? A break below may trigger cascading stops, while reclaiming $0.55 (7-day SMA) could signal stabilization.