Deep Dive
1. Token Unlock Liquidity Risk (Bearish Impact)
Overview:
A $716,190 ACE unlock (2% of circulating supply) is scheduled for 14 September 2025. Historical data shows similar unlocks often precede short-term price declines as recipients monetize holdings.
What this means:
Increased sell-side pressure could push ACE below its current support at $0.56, especially given its low 24h turnover (0.422). Watch on-chain activity post-unlock via CoinMarketCap.
2. Gaming Adoption Catalysts (Bullish Impact)
Overview:
Fusionist will showcase its AAA mech-battle game at Tokyo Game Show (25–28 September), targeting mainstream gamers. Recent in-game events like “Echoes of Hyperspace” distributed ACE rewards, boosting token utility.
What this means:
Successful event traction could drive new users to Endurance’s ecosystem, increasing demand for ACE. However, the token’s 21.67% 90d gain suggests some optimism is already priced in.
3. Technical Sentiment Divergence (Mixed Impact)
Overview:
ACE trades below its 7-day SMA ($0.605) and 30-day SMA ($0.561), signaling bearish momentum. However, RSI (43.3) approaches oversold territory, and MACD divergence hints at potential reversal if buying volume rebounds.
What this means:
A break above $0.605 could trigger short-term recovery, but failure to hold $0.56 may extend losses toward Fibonacci support at $0.485.
Conclusion
ACE’s near-term trajectory hinges on balancing the September unlock’s liquidity risk against gaming ecosystem momentum. The Tokyo Game Show and RSI divergence offer speculative upside, but macro factors like Bitcoin’s 57.1% dominance could cap altcoin rallies. Will Fusionist’s gameplay demos convert hype into sustained token demand?