Deep Dive
1. Profit-Taking After Perp DEX Launch (Bearish Impact)
Overview:
Gate launched its decentralized perpetual exchange (Perp DEX) on Sept 29, offering up to 500 GT rewards during its public beta. While initially bullish (GT rose 3.44% that day), the price reversed as traders likely sold the news.
What this means:
- Short-term traders often exit after major announcements, especially with incentive programs that could dilute value if participation underperforms.
- GT’s 24h volume fell 2.33% to $9.94M, suggesting reduced buying momentum post-launch.
What to watch:
- Perp DEX trading volumes and whether GT’s role as the gas token drives sustained demand.
2. Technical Resistance at Key Levels (Bearish)
Overview:
GT faces immediate resistance at its pivot point ($16.63) and 23.6% Fibonacci level ($16.91). The MACD line (-0.205) crossed below its signal line (-0.186) on Sept 30, signaling bearish momentum.
What this means:
- Failure to hold $16.20 support (Sept 26 low) could trigger further downside toward $15.80.
- RSI at 50.82 shows neutral momentum, but bearish divergence persists after GT’s 83.8% yearly gain.
Key threshold:
A daily close above $16.91 (23.6% Fib) could invalidate the bearish setup.
3. Token Unlock Hangover (Mixed Impact)
Overview:
$110M worth of GT (0.67% of supply) unlocked on Sept 26 introduced potential selling pressure. While GT’s deflationary model (60.18% burned since 2019) offsets dilution, unlocks often create short-term volatility.
What this means:
- Circulating supply increased to 82.37M GT, though burns removed 1.92M GT in Q2 2025.
- Market cap dominance fell to 0.0344%, reflecting altcoin weakness as Bitcoin dominance rose to 58.34%.
Conclusion
GT’s dip reflects profit-taking after its Layer-2 ecosystem expansion, technical resistance, and lingering supply concerns. The mid-term bullish case remains intact due to GT’s deflationary mechanics and Gate Layer adoption, but traders appear cautious amid broader market uncertainty.
Key watch: Can GT hold $16.20 support, or will Perp DEX activity catalyze a rebound? Monitor trading volumes and Bitcoin’s price action for directional cues.