TLDR GIB fell 22.66% over the last 24h, extending a 45% weekly decline. The drop outpaced the broader crypto market’s 1.09% dip, signaling coin-specific pressures. Here are the main factors:
- Oversold Momentum – RSI hit 28.97 (7-day), but no bullish reversal yet.
- NFT Hype Fade – Post-NFT launch sell-off despite initial demand.
- Weak Market Sentiment – Altcoin season index at 42, favoring Bitcoin.
Deep Dive
1. Oversold Momentum (Bearish Impact)
Overview: GIB’s 7-day RSI hit 28.97 (below 30 = oversold), while the MACD histogram (-0.00009) shows bearish momentum accelerating. Prices trade 33% below the 30-day SMA ($0.00183).
What this means: Oversold conditions often precede bounces, but sustained selling pressure (60.5% volume spike to $3.8M) suggests traders are exiting despite technical extremes. The lack of bullish divergence in RSI implies weak buying interest.
What to look out for: A close above the 7-day SMA ($0.00139) could signal short-term relief.
2. NFT Hype Fade (Bearish Impact)
Overview: GIB’s official NFT collection launched on 27 July 2025 (@gibthefrog), with a “Phase 1 sold out in 2 seconds” tweet on 1 August. However, subsequent updates lacked utility details, and MagicEden NFT integration on 12 August saw muted traction.
What this means: Memecoins often rally on NFT launches but crash if perceived as “pump-and-dump” vehicles. The 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level ($0.00152) failed to hold, triggering stop-losses.
3. Weak Altcoin Sentiment (Bearish Impact)
Overview: The Altcoin Season Index sits at 42 (neutral), down 16% monthly, with Bitcoin dominance at 58.65%.
What this means: Capital rotation into Bitcoin amid flat crypto fear/greed (46/100) hurt speculative alts like GIB. Its 90-day -92% return underperforms SOL (-35% in same period), reducing trader patience.
Conclusion
GIB’s plunge reflects fading NFT hype, oversold technicals without buyer support, and a risk-off shift toward Bitcoin. While RSI extremes hint at possible stabilization, sustained recovery needs fresh catalysts beyond meme-driven narratives.
Key watch: Can GIB hold the 20 August swing low of $0.00096283, or will breakdowns trigger another leg down?