Latest Grass (GRASS) Price Analysis

Deep Dive

1. Leverage Liquidation Spree (Bearish Impact)

Overview:
Over $637K in long positions were liquidated in derivatives markets (Cryptonews), coinciding with GRASS’s drop below its 7-day SMA ($0.869). Spot volume surged 55%, suggesting panic selling amplified by futures market turbulence.

What this means:
Liquidations forced margin traders to sell, creating downward pressure. Positive funding rates shifted to neutral, indicating reduced bullish leverage. GRASS’s high volatility (20%+ weekly swings) makes it prone to cascading sell-offs during market stress.

What to look out for:
Derivatives open interest and funding rates on exchanges like Bybit. A sustained drop below $0.80 could trigger further liquidations.

2. Technical Rejection at Key Levels (Mixed Impact)

Overview:
GRASS failed to hold above the 7-day EMA ($0.875) and Fibonacci 23.6% retracement ($0.96). The RSI (52.33) cooled from overbought levels, while the MACD histogram flattened, signaling fading upward momentum.

What this means:
Short-term traders likely took profits after GRASS’s 20% 60-day rally. The price now tests critical support at $0.76–$0.82 (50% Fibonacci and 30-day SMA). A breakdown here could extend losses toward $0.68 (61.8% Fib).

What to look out for:
A daily close above $0.87 (7-day EMA) to invalidate bearish momentum.

3. Upcoming Token Unlock Concerns (Bearish Sentiment)

Overview:
Only 29% of GRASS’s 1B total supply is circulating, with a major unlock scheduled for October 2025. Investors may be front-running potential sell pressure from early backers and team members.

What this means:
Dilution fears often pressure prices pre-unlock. GRASS’s 90-day return (-16%) reflects lingering anxiety despite strong AI/DePIN adoption metrics (3M+ users).

What to look out for:
Project updates on unlock timelines and vesting adjustments.

Conclusion

GRASS’s drop reflects a mix of leveraged unwind, technical profit-taking, and supply dilution risks. While its AI data network fundamentals remain strong (2M+ active nodes), traders are pricing in short-term headwinds. Key watch: Can GRASS hold $0.76 support ahead of October’s token unlock? Monitor on-chain whale activity for accumulation signals.

Deep Dive

1. Technical Momentum (Bullish Impact)

Overview: GRASS broke above its 7-day SMA ($0.85) and 30-day SMA ($0.80), with RSI14 at 57.83 (neutral-bullish) and MACD histogram trending upward since early September.

What this means: The price crossed critical moving averages, signaling short-term bullish control. Traders are reacting to the MACD bullish crossover (0.027 vs. 0.020 signal line) and Fibonacci retracement levels holding above $0.89.

What to look out for: A sustained close above the 200-day SMA ($1.31) could target the $1.22 extension level.

2. Adoption Catalysts (Mixed Impact)

Overview: GRASS’s Android app launched on July 8, enabling mobile users to share bandwidth for AI data scraping. The network has processed 1.76M TB/day of web data (May 2025 peak), with 3M+ active nodes.

What this means: Real-world utility growth in decentralized AI infrastructure is attracting investors. However, 29% of tokens remain unlocked, with a major unlock scheduled for October 2025 – a potential overhang.

What to look out for: Node growth rates and Q4 2025 user retention metrics post-unlock.

3. Market Sentiment & Listings (Bullish Impact)

Overview: GRASS gained traction after July listings on Tokocrypto (Indonesia) and Gate.io, driving a 61.83% 24h volume spike. Grayscale added it to its “AI category” watchlist on July 11, hinting at future institutional product inclusion.

What this means: Exchange expansions improve liquidity and retail access, while Grayscale’s interest signals long-term credibility for its DePIN x AI narrative.

Conclusion

GRASS’s rally reflects technical momentum, infrastructure adoption in AI data scraping, and strategic exchange expansions. While the project’s 2M+ user base and Solana-based architecture offer upside, traders should monitor the October 2025 token unlock for supply-side risks.

Key watch: Can GRASS hold above the $0.95 pivot point to challenge its 200-day SMA ($1.31)?