Gravity (by Galxe) (G) Price Prediction

TLDR Gravity (G) faces a tug-of-war between ecosystem growth and dilution risks.

1. Mainnet Adoption – High throughput upgrades could drive demand if developer traction accelerates
2. Token Migration Aftermath – 1:60 GAL→G swap risks supply overhang without sustained utility growth
3. Altcoin Sentiment – Neutral market mood (CMC Alt Season Index: 49) tempers speculative upside

Deep Dive

1. Mainnet Adoption (Bullish Impact)

Overview: Gravity Alpha Mainnet processed 500M+ transactions as of August 2025, with recent upgrades like Gravity Reth EVM (41k TPS) and Celestia integration (GravityChain). Messari highlighted its modular design and throughput advantages in July 2025 (source).

What this means: Sustained network usage (gas fees) and developer adoption could increase G's utility demand. However, current $7.45M daily volume remains modest relative to $120M market cap, needing 3–6 months of ecosystem growth to materially impact price.

2. Token Migration Aftermath (Bearish Impact)

Overview: The July 2024 GAL→G migration at 1:60 ratio expanded supply to 12B tokens. Circulating supply stands at 9.99B G (~83% of total), with vesting schedules ongoing until 2028 (Gravity Docs).

What this means: Full dilution risk persists – another 2B G could enter circulation by 2026. Price recovery (-70% YoY) requires either accelerated token burns (none announced) or demand outpacing vesting unlocks.

3. Altcoin Sentiment (Mixed Impact)

Overview: Crypto markets show neutral sentiment (Fear & Greed Index: 56) with altcoins underperforming BTC (Dominance: 57.84%). However, Gravity’s 6.62% 24h gain on August 23 outpaced the +3.82% total market rise.

What this means: G remains vulnerable to broader risk-off rotations but could benefit from any shift to “alt season” (index at 49, near threshold). Monitor derivatives OI ($888B sector-wide) for leverage-fueled volatility cues.

Conclusion

Gravity’s price hinges on executing its technical roadmap while managing post-migration supply dynamics. The 200-day EMA resistance at $0.0165 (37% above current price) will test whether ecosystem growth can offset dilution.

Can Gravity Reth’s 41k TPS translate to developer traction before vesting unlocks accelerate?