Latest INFINIT (IN) Price Analysis

TLDR
INFINIT (IN) fell 4.40% over the last 24h, underperforming the broader crypto market (+3.91%) and extending a 26.16% decline over 30 days. Key drivers:

1. Airdrop sell pressure – Binance Alpha users claimed 500 IN tokens each on August 10, with gradual selling likely continuing.
2. Weak technical structure – Price below key moving averages signals bearish momentum.
3. Post-V2 update cooling – INFINIT V2 launch on August 20 saw initial hype fade, with user metrics failing to spark renewed demand.

Deep Dive

1. Airdrop Sell Pressure (Bearish Impact)

Overview:
On August 10, Binance distributed 500 IN tokens to users holding 200+ Alpha Points (Binance). This followed a 5% token allocation (50M IN) for airdrops during its August 7 listing. Historically, airdrop recipients often sell tokens for short-term gains, creating sustained downward pressure.

What this means:
The gradual release of airdropped tokens (likely vesting or staggered claims) has increased circulating supply without proportional demand. With 228.3M IN circulating (22.8% of total supply), even moderate selling from airdrop participants can disproportionately impact price.

What to look out for:
On-chain data tracking airdrop wallet activity (e.g., large transfers to exchanges like Gate.io or Bitget, which listed IN this month).

2. Technical Weakness (Bearish Impact)

Overview:
IN trades at $0.073, below its 7-day SMA ($0.082) and EMA ($0.081). The RSI-14 at 48.2 suggests neutral momentum but aligns with a descending trend from its August 7 debut at ~$0.10.

What this means:
Persistent failure to reclaim moving averages signals weak buyer conviction. The 24h volume of $43.6M (-3.15% vs. prior day) reflects fading interest, while the RSI’s inability to break above 50 reinforces bearish control.

What to look out for:
A sustained move above $0.082 (SMA-7) could signal trend reversal.

3. Post-V2 Update Sentiment Shift (Mixed Impact)

Overview:
INFINIT V2 launched on August 20 with AI-driven DeFi strategy automation and cross-chain support. While the update added functionality, user growth metrics (184K beta users, 456K transactions) failed to meet inflated expectations (timbro_bro).

What this means:
The “buy the rumor, sell the news” effect likely contributed to post-launch profit-taking. Despite V2’s technical merits, the lack of immediate ecosystem growth or major partnerships has left traders cautious.

Conclusion

INFINIT’s decline reflects a mix of airdrop-driven supply dilution, technical bearishness, and post-update sentiment cooling. While its AI-focused DeFi infrastructure holds long-term potential, short-term risks dominate.

Key watch: Can IN stabilize above its 7-day SMA ($0.082) to attract buyers, or will airdrop-related selling push it toward yearly lows?

Deep Dive

1. DeFi Sector Momentum (Bullish Impact)

Overview: INFINIT’s AI-driven DeFi strategies align with a sector-wide resurgence. Total DeFi TVL surged 57% in Q2 2025, reaching $153B, with institutional inflows into Ethereum-based yield protocols hitting $4.6B (CryptoNewsLand).

What this means: INFINIT’s integration of AI agents for automated yield strategies positions it as a beneficiary of this trend. The protocol’s focus on institutional-grade tooling (e.g., permissioned pools) aligns with capital concentration in DeFi.

What to look out for: Ethereum gas fee trends – DeFi’s share of Ethereum transactions has dropped to 11%, signaling potential rotation into Layer-2/AI-enhanced protocols like INFINIT.

2. Exchange Incentives (Mixed Impact)

Overview: Bitget’s 3M IN reward pool, active since August 7, 2025, incentivizes spot trading. Concurrently, Binance Alpha’s airdrop phase (August 10) required a 237 Alpha Points threshold, distributing 500 IN per user.

What this means: While these campaigns boost short-term volume (+25.2% 24h turnover), they risk dilution – 5% of IN’s 1B supply was allocated to airdrops. The 24h rebound coincided with reduced sell pressure as major airdrop phases concluded.

3. Technical Rebound (Neutral Impact)

Overview: IN’s 7-day RSI (46.28) hovered near oversold territory after a 25% weekly drop. The price ($0.0791) remains below its 7-day SMA ($0.084), indicating lingering bearish pressure.

What this means: The 24h bounce lacks strong momentum confirmation – volume ($46.1M) is 47% below its August 7 listing peak. Traders may be testing support near $0.075, but sustained recovery requires reclaiming $0.085.

Conclusion

INFINIT’s rebound reflects sector tailwinds and tactical trading around exchange incentives, but its longer-term trend remains bearish amid high volatility.

Key watch: Can IN hold above its pivot point of $0.0766? A breakdown could retest July’s lows, while a close above $0.085 might signal renewed accumulation.