Latest Injective (INJ) Price Analysis

By CMC AI
04 October 2025 04:01PM (UTC+0)

Why is INJ’s price down today? (04/10/2025)

TLDR

Injective (INJ) fell 2.27% over the past 24h to $12.76, contrasting with a 7.59% weekly gain. Key factors include profit-taking after recent rallies, delays to INJ-related ETF proposals, and broader crypto market weakness (-1.28% total cap).

  1. Profit-taking pressure after 7-day surge (+7.59%)

  2. Regulatory uncertainty around staked INJ ETF delays

  3. Technical resistance at key Fibonacci level ($13.04)

Deep Dive

1. Post-Rally Profit Taking (Bearish Impact)

Overview: INJ rose 7.59% last week amid bullish developments like Pineapple Financial's $100M INJ treasury (Sept 5) and pre-IPO derivatives launch (Oct 1). The 24h trading volume surged 37% to $149M, signaling active profit-taking.
What this means: Short-term traders are capitalizing on recent gains, creating downward pressure. The 30-day SMA ($13.17) now acts as resistance, with price struggling to hold above $13.

2. Staked ETF Delays (Bearish Impact)

Overview: The SEC delayed decisions on Canary Capital's staked INJ ETF (Sept 26) and other altcoin funds, prolonging regulatory uncertainty.
What this means: ETFs drive institutional interest – delays postpone potential inflows. However, Pineapple Financial’s NYSE-listed INJ treasury (holding ~7% of supply) provides counterbalancing institutional support.

3. Technical Resistance at Key Level (Mixed Impact)

Overview: INJ faces resistance at the 50% Fibonacci retracement level ($13.04). While the MACD histogram turned positive (+0.077), the RSI (54.35) shows neutral momentum.
What this means: Bulls need a sustained break above $13.04 to invalidate bearish pressure. The 200-day SMA ($11.92) remains critical support.

Conclusion

INJ’s dip reflects natural profit-taking after strong weekly performance, amplified by ETF delays and technical resistance. The coin retains bullish fundamentals with growing RWA adoption and institutional treasury strategies. Key watch: Can INJ hold above the 200-day SMA ($11.92) if market weakness persists?

Why is INJ’s price up today? (03/10/2025)

TLDR

Injective (INJ) rose 3.86% over the last 24h, outperforming its 7-day gain of 12.33% and diverging from the broader crypto market’s +2.17% move. Here are the main factors:

  1. Pre-IPO Perpetuals Launch – Onchain derivatives for private firms like OpenAI drove DeFi narrative momentum.

  2. Institutional Treasury Moves – Pineapple Financial’s $100M INJ-focused treasury boosted demand.

  3. Technical Breakout – Price reclaimed key Fibonacci levels amid bullish momentum.


Deep Dive

1. Pre-IPO Perpetuals Launch (Bullish Impact)

Overview: Injective launched decentralized pre-IPO perpetual markets on October 1, offering synthetic exposure to private companies like OpenAI and SpaceX via its Helix exchange. These markets support 5x leverage and bypass centralized alternatives like Robinhood’s tokenized equity products.

What this means: The move expands Injective’s real-world asset (RWA) narrative, attracting traders seeking uncorrelated yields. With $1B+ in RWA perpetuals traded monthly (The Block), the launch could drive higher protocol fees and INJ burns, tightening supply.

What to look out for: Volume growth for pre-IPO markets and regulatory scrutiny, as U.S./U.K./Canadian users are excluded.


2. Institutional Treasury Demand (Bullish Impact)

Overview: Pineapple Financial, backed by a $100M private placement led by the Injective Foundation, became the first NYSE-listed firm to anchor its treasury in INJ on September 5. The firm aims to leverage INJ’s 12% staking yield for shareholder returns.

What this means: Corporate treasury adoption signals institutional confidence, creating a structural buyer for INJ. Similar strategies by Avalanche and Tron-linked firms have historically lifted token prices through reduced circulating supply.

What to look out for: Pineapple’s quarterly reports detailing INJ accumulation and staking rewards.


3. Technical Breakout (Mixed Impact)

Overview: INJ reclaimed the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level ($13.04) and holds above its 7-day SMA ($12.2). The MACD histogram turned positive, signaling bullish momentum, while RSI (59.2) avoids overbought territory.

What this means: Short-term traders may target $14 (23.6% Fib), but resistance at $14.86 (swing high) remains a hurdle. The 24h volume surge (+14.87% to $109M) supports upward price discovery but raises volatility risks.


Conclusion

INJ’s rally reflects a blend of product innovation (pre-IPO derivatives), institutional treasury inflows, and technical momentum. While bullish catalysts dominate, traders should monitor whether Pineapple’s treasury strategy scales sustainably and if pre-IPO volumes offset broader market risks.

Key watch: Can INJ hold above $13.04 (38.2% Fib) to confirm a higher timeframe uptrend?

CMC AI can make mistakes. Not financial advice.