Question 1

Why is IOST’s price up today? (13/10/2025)

Accepted Answer

## TLDR  
IOST rose 11.07% in the past 24h, outpacing the broader crypto market’s 4.61% gain. Key drivers include progress in its $3M buyback program, bullish technical signals, and momentum from recent ecosystem partnerships.

1. **Buyback Execution** – $3M buyback program (July 11–Oct 9) nears completion, reducing circulating supply.  
2. **Technical Rebound** – Oversold RSI and bullish divergence suggest short-term recovery potential.  
3. **Partnership Momentum** – Recent RWA collaborations amplify optimism around IOST’s use cases.

## Deep Dive  
### 1. Buyback Program Progress (Bullish Impact)  
**Overview:** IOST’s $3M buyback initiative, announced on July 11, 2025, entered its final phase in October 2025. The program aimed to repurchase tokens from the open market over 90 days, directly reducing circulating supply.

**What this means:** By absorbing sell-side liquidity, buybacks create upward pressure on price if demand remains steady. The program also signals confidence in IOST’s long-term value, attracting speculative interest.

**What to look out for:** Confirmation of buyback completion and transparency about token allocation (burned vs. reserved for ecosystem incentives).

### 2. Technical Indicators Hint at Reversal (Mixed Impact)  
**Overview:** IOST’s RSI-14 rebounded from oversold levels (35.29), while the MACD histogram (-0.00007) shows slowing bearish momentum. The price remains below critical SMAs (200-day SMA at $0.00357), but the 24h rally broke a multi-week downtrend.

**What this means:** Traders may interpret the RSI rebound and 11% surge as a short-term buying opportunity, though sustained recovery requires closing above $0.003 (16% above current price).

### 3. RWA Partnership Momentum (Bullish Impact)  
**Overview:** Recent collaborations, including a July 2025 partnership with BEBE to expand real-world asset (RWA) infrastructure, reinforced IOST’s niche in tokenization. This follows a $21M raise in June 2025 for regulated RWA expansion.

**What this means:** Institutional interest in compliant tokenization aligns with IOST’s Japan Virtual Currency Exchange Association (JVCEA) approval, positioning it as a regulated player. Partnerships validate utility, potentially attracting new capital.

## Conclusion  
IOST’s 24h surge reflects a mix of tactical buybacks, technical traders capitalizing on oversold conditions, and growing credibility in RWA infrastructure. While bullish in the near term, the token faces resistance at $0.003 and remains -30% below its 90-day average.

**Key watch:** Can IOST hold above $0.0028 (Fibonacci 23.6% level) to confirm a trend reversal, or will supply inflation from staking rewards offset buyback gains?

Question 2

Why is IOST’s price down today? (12/10/2025)

Accepted Answer

## TLDR
IOST fell 2.74% over the past 24h, extending a broader 26.7% weekly decline. Here are the main factors:

1. **Weak technical structure** – Oversold RSI but no reversal signals  
2. **Supply inflation risks** – Circulating supply up 9.6% since May 2025 ([Upbit](https://static.upbit.com/guide/circulating_supply/IOST_20250529.pdf))  
3. **Altcoin liquidity crunch** – IOST’s 24h volume fell 67% as capital exits smaller tokens

## Deep Dive  
### 1. Technical Breakdown (Bearish Impact)  
**Overview:** IOST’s 14-day RSI sits at 25.13 – technically oversold but with no bullish divergence. The price trades 23.6% below its 30-day SMA ($0.00311), signaling entrenched bearish momentum.

**What this means:** While oversold conditions sometimes precede bounces, the lack of buying volume (24h turnover ratio: 0.2) suggests weak conviction. The MACD histogram remains negative (-0.000073), reinforcing downward pressure.

**What to watch:** A close above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level ($0.00304) could signal short-term relief. Until then, the path of least resistance remains down.

### 2. Circulating Supply Dynamics (Mixed Impact)  
**Overview:** IOST’s circulating supply grew from 25.6B to 28.7B tokens between May–October 2025 due to dynamic inflation mechanisms ([Upbit](https://static.upbit.com/guide/circulating_supply/IOST_20250529.pdf)).

**What this means:** While the project’s $3M buyback (announced July 11) aims to counter dilution, it would only absorb ~1.3B tokens at current prices – insufficient to offset 3.1B new tokens minted in the same period. This creates persistent sell-side pressure absent sustained demand.

### 3. Altcoin Liquidity Drain (Bearish Impact)  
**Overview:** IOST’s 24h volume plunged 67% to $13.4M amid a broader crypto liquidity crunch – total altcoin volume fell 51% in 24h.

**What this means:** With Bitcoin dominance rising to 59.5%, traders are exiting smaller tokens like IOST for safer large-caps. The Fear & Greed Index (31/100) and Altcoin Season Index (35/100) reflect this risk-off rotation.

## Conclusion  
IOST’s decline reflects technical breakdowns, tokenomics dilution, and sector-wide capital flight from altcoins. While the RWA-focused roadmap (e.g., June’s $21M raise) offers long-term potential, short-term headwinds dominate.

**Key watch:** Can the team accelerate buyback execution or announce new demand drivers (e.g., the Q3 RWA airdrop teased [July 27](https://x.com/IOST_Official/status/1949450535570112926)) to counter supply inflation?

Latest IOST (IOST) Price Analysis

Why is IOST’s price up today? (13/10/2025)

TLDR

Deep Dive

1. Buyback Program Progress (Bullish Impact)

2. Technical Indicators Hint at Reversal (Mixed Impact)

3. RWA Partnership Momentum (Bullish Impact)

Conclusion

Why is IOST’s price down today? (12/10/2025)

TLDR

Deep Dive

1. Technical Breakdown (Bearish Impact)

2. Circulating Supply Dynamics (Mixed Impact)

3. Altcoin Liquidity Drain (Bearish Impact)

Conclusion

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