IOST (IOST) Price Prediction

Deep Dive

1. Strategic Buyback & Ecosystem Funding (Bullish Impact)

Overview:
IOST’s $3M buyback (ongoing until October 2025) aims to absorb ~1B tokens from circulation at current prices. Concurrently, a $21M raise from DWF Labs and others targets real-world asset (RWA) infrastructure, focusing on Japan – where IOST holds JVCEA regulatory approval.

What this means:
Scarcity from buybacks could counterbalance selling pressure, especially if paired with RWA adoption. Success in Japan – a $9T asset tokenization market by 2030 (McKinsey) – might attract institutional inflows.

2. Circulating Supply Dynamics (Bearish Impact)

Overview:
IOST’s circulating supply is projected to grow from 28.1B to 48B by April 2028 due to dynamic inflation (7% annualized vs. initial 3% estimates). Current supply is 60% of max – higher than Ethereum’s 84% circulated.

What this means:
Unless demand keeps pace, this ~87% supply expansion could suppress price appreciation. The 30-day price drop (-20.35%) already reflects some inflation anxiety.

3. Technical & Sentiment Signals (Mixed Impact)

Overview:
RSI-14 at 36.08 suggests nearing oversold territory, while the MACD histogram (-0.00002) shows weakening bear momentum. Social volume spiked 760% during June’s RWA news but has since cooled.

What this means:
A break above the 200-day EMA ($0.00372) could trigger short-covering toward $0.0042 (June high). However, fear-dominated broader markets (CMC Fear Index: 39) may limit upside.

Conclusion

IOST’s fate hinges on executing its RWA roadmap while managing supply inflation. The buyback provides short-term support, but sustainable gains require proving tokenization use cases in regulated markets.

Will Q3’s RWA product launches attract enough demand to offset 7% annual token inflation?