Treasure (MAGIC) Price Prediction

Deep Dive

1. AI Agent Expansion (Bullish Impact)

Overview: Treasure’s AI agents on Ronin (launched Aug 11, 2025) enable NFT-based gameplay automation in Fishing Frenzy, with 1.2M+ interactions logged. This aligns with their roadmap to deploy agents across 6+ games by Q4 2025.

What this means: Increased MAGIC utility for agent activation fees (0.1-0.3 MAGIC per action) creates organic buy pressure. Historical data shows 72.5% price spikes post-major feature launches (Treasure_DAO).

2. Token Supply Shifts (Mixed Impact)

Overview: A July 15, 2025 proposal approved unlocking 13M MAGIC (4% of circulating supply) from the ecosystem fund, to be sold via market makers at “neutral rates” over 90 days.

What this means: While designed to minimize slippage, this introduces ~$3M sell pressure (at $0.23 price). Counteracting this, 60% of MAGIC remains staked as veMAGIC, reducing liquid supply (CoinMarketCap).

3. Technical & Sentiment Factors (Neutral)

Overview: MAGIC faces immediate resistance at $0.24 (July 2025 high), with RSI(14) at 54.84 suggesting balanced momentum. The Fear & Greed Index at 56 (Neutral) reflects cautious optimism.

What this means: A sustained break above $0.24 could target $0.30 (61.8% Fib level), but failure risks retracement to $0.20 support. Derivatives data shows modest -0.025% funding rates, indicating no extreme leverage risks.

Conclusion

MAGIC’s price will likely oscillate between AI-driven utility gains and token unlock headwinds through Q3 2025. The key question: Can veMAGIC staking rates maintain >50% to offset dilution, while AI adoption metrics (agent transactions/day) exceed 50K? Watch the $0.24 level – a weekly close above it would confirm bullish technical structure.