Official Melania Meme (MELANIA) Price Prediction

Deep Dive

1. Regulatory Scrutiny (Bearish Impact)

Overview: Senate Democrats’ proposed legislation (Crypto News) seeks to bar political figures and families from crypto profits. MELANIA, tied to Melania Trump, faces existential risk if such rules pass. The “COIN Act” could mandate disclosures or freeze insider token movements.

What this means: Political meme coins thrive on association, but regulatory crackdowns could erase this edge. A 2025 precedent saw Trump-linked tokens lose 38% post-announcement (BTC Markets).

2. Whale Accumulation (Mixed Impact)

Overview: Whales increased MELANIA holdings by 4% last week, correlating with a 10% price rise (Bitget). However, 89% of supply is concentrated in one wallet (Bitstamp), creating asymmetric liquidity risks.

What this means: Short-term price boosts from whale buys are fragile—large holders could trigger cascading sell-offs. Monitoring wallet activity via tools like Nansen is critical.

3. Technical & Sentiment Signals (Neutral/Bullish)

Overview: MELANIA’s RSI (7-day: 22.6) is deeply oversold, historically preceding rebounds. However, price sits below all key moving averages (30-day SMA: $0.197), signaling bearish momentum.

What this means: A break above $0.191 (50% Fibonacci retracement) could spark a 20% rally to $0.223, but failure to hold $0.164 support risks a 30% drop to $0.12.

Conclusion

MELANIA’s fate hinges on regulatory clarity, whale behavior, and meme-driven retail momentum. While oversold conditions suggest a near-term bounce, structural risks like political scrutiny and supply concentration cap upside. Traders should watch Senate bill progress and on-chain whale movements. Will Trump-linked tokens defy regulation, or become collateral damage in a policy crackdown?