Deep Dive
1. Sector-Wide Meme Coin Weakness (Bearish Impact)
Overview:
The meme coin niche fell 10% on September 22 (CryptoPotato), with MemeCore initially resisting the trend. However, Bitcoin’s 4.3% drop to $112K on October 2 renewed sector-wide pressure, compounded by altcoin dominance slipping to 28.94% (-0.18% weekly).
What this means:
MemeCore’s 270% 60-day gain left it vulnerable to sector rotations. Traders often exit high-beta assets like meme coins first during market uncertainty, as seen in the 22.27% drop in M’s 24h trading volume to $16.7M.
What to watch:
BTC’s price action – A break below $110K could extend meme coin liquidations.
2. Derivatives Market Pressure (Mixed Impact)
Overview:
MemeCore’s derivatives data shows taker sell volume at 66% (AMBCrypto), with open interest down 17% in 24h. This indicates shorts are dominating price action despite M’s 30d rally.
What this means:
The high sell ratio suggests traders are either hedging spot positions or betting on further downside. However, the 44.71 RSI (7-day) shows no extreme overbought conditions, leaving room for volatility in either direction.
Key level:
$2.00 psychological support – A close below could trigger stop-loss orders.
3. Technical Rejection at Key Level (Bearish Impact)
Overview:
MemeCore failed to hold the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at $2.13, sliding below its 7-day SMA ($2.23). The MACD histogram turned negative (-0.09672), signaling weakening momentum.
What this means:
The rejection aligns with the 50% retracement zone ($1.88) being tested in July 2025 before rallies. Current price ($2.09) sits between critical Fibonacci levels – sustained trade below $2.13 could see a test of $1.62 (61.8% level).
Conclusion
MemeCore’s dip reflects sector rotation, derivatives positioning, and technical consolidation after massive gains. While the 30d uptrend remains intact, the 24h drop shows how quickly meme coin sentiment can shift with broader market moves.
Key watch: Can M hold above the 50-day EMA ($2.03)? A breakdown here might signal deeper correction toward $1.82 support.