Deep Dive
1. Profit-Taking Acceleration (Bearish Impact)
Overview: MEW’s 522.9% volume surge to $284M on July 18 (AMBCrypto) signaled overheated bullish positioning. The token’s 18 July 2025 drop coincided with a negative Sell-Buy Delta (-7.42M tokens) as traders locked in gains from its July breakout.
What this means: Memecoins like MEW thrive on momentum – when volume spikes without fresh catalysts, traders often exit en masse. The 225.57% surge in MEW’s 24h spot volume to $92.5M suggests panic selling, not accumulation.
Watch: Exchange net flows – sustained outflows would confirm profit-taking dominance.
2. Technical Breakdown (Bearish Impact)
Overview: MEW broke below its pivot point ($0.0018354) and 200-day SMA ($0.0029818). The RSI7 at 18.81 (oversold) and MACD histogram (-0.0000459) show extreme bearish momentum.
What this means: Technical traders interpret the breach of the 200-day SMA as a long-term trend reversal. The Fibonacci 23.6% retracement ($0.0028845) now acts as resistance – until reclaimed, automated sell orders may keep pressure on prices.
Watch: A close above $0.0022 (50% retracement) could signal short-term relief.
3. Altcoin Liquidity Drain (Mixed Impact)
Overview: Bitcoin’s dominance rose 2.5% in 30 days to 60.08%, while the Altcoin Season Index fell 46.15% since June 2025. Traders rotated into BTC amid market-wide fear (CMC Fear & Greed Index: 35).
What this means: Memecoins are highly sensitive to market-wide risk appetite. With BTC absorbing capital and MEW’s turnover ratio at 0.537 (high liquidity), traders can exit positions quickly, exacerbating downside volatility.
Conclusion
MEW’s drop reflects a trifecta of profit-taking, technical triggers, and sector-wide risk aversion. While oversold conditions hint at a bounce, the lack of immediate catalysts and Bitcoin’s dominance suggest caution.
Key watch: Can MEW hold the $0.0015 psychological level, or will Bitcoin’s rally toward $148K (CoinJournal) extend the altcoin squeeze?