TLDR
Movement (MOVE) rose 4.98% over the last 24h, defying a broader 30-day downtrend (–15.93%). The uptick aligns with a technical breakout and exchange-driven liquidity shifts, despite lingering supply risks.
- Mainnet Swap Support – CoinEx’s migration to MOVE’s native chain reduces ERC20 sell pressure.
- Technical Breakout – Falling wedge pattern broken, signaling bullish momentum.
- Buyback Wallet Activity – 50M MOVE moved to Binance, hinting at liquidity shifts.
Deep Dive
1. Mainnet Swap Support (Bullish Impact)
Overview:
CoinEx announced on August 13 it will support MOVE’s mainnet swap, halting ERC20 deposits/withdrawals by August 14. This forces holders to migrate tokens to the native chain, temporarily reducing exchange supply.
What this means:
The migration reduces immediate sell pressure from ERC20 tokens, creating short-term scarcity. Historically, mainnet swaps like Ethereum’s Merge or Solana’s upgrades have boosted confidence in project maturity.
What to look out for:
Post-swap trading volumes on CoinEx and whether other exchanges follow suit.
2. Technical Breakout (Mixed Impact)
Overview:
MOVE broke out of a falling wedge pattern (swing high: $0.162, swing low: $0.121) with RSI14 at 48.15 (neutral) and MACD nearing a bullish crossover.
What this means:
The breakout above $0.13 resistance (now support) signals short-term bullish sentiment. However, the 30-day SMA ($0.136) and 200-day SMA ($0.270) remain overhead resistance, limiting upside.
What to look out for:
Sustained closes above $0.135 to confirm trend reversal.
3. Buyback Wallet Transfer (Neutral Impact)
Overview:
On July 28, 50M MOVE ($6.44M) was moved from Movement’s buyback wallet to Binance. Buyback wallets typically stabilize prices by reducing supply, but transfers to exchanges often precede selling.
What this means:
The move could signal liquidity provisioning for staking or partnerships, but risks remain if tokens flood the market. The 24h volume spike (+75.39% to $36.3M) suggests traders are pricing in mixed outcomes.
Conclusion
MOVE’s rally reflects technical momentum and reduced ERC20 liquidity, but long-term risks persist from August 10’s token unlock (50M MOVE) and unresolved governance concerns. Key watch: Can MOVE hold above $0.13 if Bitcoin dominance (57.8%) climbs further?