Deep Dive
1. Technical context
The 24h drop follows a 20.8% weekly surge that pushed MUSE into extreme overbought territory:
- RSI7 spiked to 92.8 (highest since July 2025 data), far above the 70 “overbought” threshold
- Price rejected at $12.57 swing high (July 2025 peak), now testing $9.51 Fibonacci 50% retracement level
- MACD histogram flipped positive (+0.223) but divergence between MACD/signal lines suggests weakening momentum
Thin liquidity (24h volume down 34.9% to $1.63M) likely amplified the sell-off.
2. Market dynamics
Altcoins faced headwinds as Bitcoin dominance rose 0.55% to 60.23% in 24h:
- Traders rotated into BTC amid flat total crypto market cap (-0.53%)
- Fear & Greed Index held at 70 (“Greed”), typically a contrarian sell signal for overextended assets
- MUSE’s 30d +37% gain outpaced the crypto market’s +26.5%, inviting profit-taking
3. Supporting factors
Concentrated ownership raises volatility risks:
- 75.5% supply held by top 10 wallets (CoinMarketCap)
- Turnover ratio of 0.337 signals low liquidity relative to market cap, magnifying price swings
- No fresh bullish catalysts since July 1 node investment news (SAG3_ai)
Conclusion
MUSE’s drop reflects a healthy correction after parabolic gains, exacerbated by whale-heavy ownership and sector rotation into Bitcoin. Watch the $9.51 Fibonacci level – a sustained break could target the 200-day EMA ($8.4). Could renewed altcoin momentum reverse the selloff if Bitcoin dominance stalls?