TLDR
MX Token rose 8.95% in the past 24h, outpacing its 7-day (+13.79%) and 30-day (+30.06%) gains. Key drivers:
- Supply Shock – MEXC burned 2.4M MX (~2.6% of supply) on July 15, tightening scarcity.
- Technical Rebound – Price bounced from oversold Fibonacci support at $2.15.
- Market Outperformance – MX rallied despite mixed crypto sentiment (Fear & Greed Index: Neutral 46).
Deep Dive
1. Engineered Scarcity via Token Burn (Bullish Impact)
Overview:
MEXC executed its Q2 2025 MX burn on July 15, destroying 2,398,000 MX (~$6.8M at current prices). This reduced circulating supply from 93.4M to 91M MX, aligning with MX Token 2.0’s deflationary model where 40% of exchange profits fund quarterly buybacks (MEXC).
What this means:
Reduced supply against steady/increasing demand creates upward price pressure. The burn reinforces MEXC’s commitment to MX’s value accrual, though sustainability depends on exchange profitability.
What to watch:
Q3 2025 burn metrics (expected October 2025) and MEXC’s revenue trends.
2. Technical Rebound from Key Support (Mixed Impact)
Overview:
MX rebounded from the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level ($2.15) after hitting oversold RSI-7 levels (32.7 → 36.01). The MACD histogram turned positive (+0.022), signaling bullish momentum.
What this means:
Traders viewed the $2.15 zone as a buying opportunity, but weak volume (-36% vs. prior day) suggests cautious participation. Immediate resistance sits at $2.54 (23.6% Fib).
Key level:
A close below the 7-day SMA ($2.58) could invalidate the breakout.
3. Exchange Token Dynamics (Neutral Impact)
MX’s 2025 performance (-31.27% YTD) lags behind rivals like BGB (+452%) and OKB (+197%), per CoinMarketCap Community. However, MEXC’s aggressive tokenomics (burns, staking perks) aim to close this gap.
Conclusion
MX’s surge combines engineered scarcity and technical buying, but low volume signals skepticism about organic demand. Key watch: Whether MX holds above $2.58 (7-day SMA) and if MEXC’s Q3 fundamentals justify continued buybacks.