Question 1

Why is ALICE’s price up today? (28/09/2025)

Accepted Answer

## TLDR  
MyNeighborAlice (ALICE) rose **0.86%** over the past 24h to $0.307, diverging from its 7-day (-15.1%) and 30-day (-18.7%) downtrends. This minor rebound aligns with **gameplay updates** and **NFT ecosystem growth**, while broader crypto markets dipped -0.07%.

1. **In-Game Event Momentum**: Active "Forest Wave" quests reward ALICE tokens, driving engagement.  
2. **Partnership Catalysts**: Pudgy Penguins NFT integration expands utility and user base.  
3. **Technical Rebound**: Price holds above pivot point ($0.306) despite bearish momentum.

## Deep Dive

### 1. In-Game Activity Surge (Bullish Impact)  
**Overview:** The ongoing “Forest Wave” event (launched July 17) incentivizes gameplay through quests like exploring Lummelunda and completing missions, with **100,000 ALICE** allocated to leaderboard winners ([MyNeighborAlice](https://x.com/MyNeighborAlice/status/1950180937217520090)). Over 60,000 users participated in the prior “Icy Wave” phase.

**What this means:** Increased player activity typically boosts demand for ALICE, used for crafting NFTs, staking, and marketplace transactions. However, the 24h trading volume fell **37.3%** to $15.3M, suggesting cautious optimism rather than frenzied buying.

**What to watch:** Event conclusion (unannounced date) and ALICE token unlocks from rewards.

### 2. Strategic NFT Partnerships (Mixed Impact)  
**Overview:** A July 17 collaboration with Pudgy Penguins brought **8,888 Pudgy Penguins NFTs** and **22,000 Lil Pudgys** into the game, allowing holders to “hatch eggs” and join the ecosystem ([MyNeighborAlice](https://x.com/MyNeighborAlice/status/1945786958174921045)).

**What this means:** Cross-ecosystem NFT integrations could attract new users, but dilution risk exists if token rewards outpace organic demand. ALICE’s circulating supply is maxed at 99.8M, limiting inflationary pressure.

### 3. Technical Support Holds (Neutral)  
**Overview:** ALICE is hovering above its pivot point ($0.306), with RSI-14 at **35.7** (neutral, not oversold). However, MACD remains bearish (-0.00656), and the price sits **23.5% below** the 30-day SMA ($0.357).

**What this means:** Short-term buying at support levels may explain the bounce, but sustained recovery needs stronger fundamentals. A close below $0.30 could trigger another leg down toward the 2025 low of $0.291.

## Conclusion  
ALICE’s 24h gain reflects event-driven engagement and technical buying, but macro bearish trends (down 74% YoY) and low staking yields (0.9% APY on Bitvavo) limit upside. **Key watch:** Whether the Chromia partnership’s zero-gas fee model (live since August 6) boosts user retention post-events.

Question 2

Why is ALICE’s price down today? (26/09/2025)

Accepted Answer

## TLDR  
**MyNeighborAlice (ALICE) fell 4.68% over the last 24h**, underperforming the broader crypto market (-1.48%). The decline aligns with a multi-week downtrend (-18.34% over 7 days, -20.70% over 30 days). Key drivers include profit-taking after airdrop distributions, fading momentum from recent partnerships, and weak technical indicators.

1. **Airdrop Sell Pressure** – 500,000 ALICE distributed in July’s Adventure Airdrop likely led to profit-taking.  
2. **Partnership Momentum Fades** – Post-Pudgy Penguins collaboration hype cools.  
3. **Technical Weakness** – Price sits below critical moving averages with RSI signaling oversold but no reversal.

## Deep Dive  
### 1. Airdrop Sell Pressure (Bearish Impact)  
**Overview:** MyNeighborAlice distributed 500,000 ALICE tokens (worth ~$147,000 at current prices) during its July 2025 Adventure Airdrop. The Forest Wave phase, ending in mid-August, required in-game tasks to earn tokens.

**What this means:** Airdrop recipients often sell tokens immediately to lock in gains, especially in a bearish market. The 30.98% surge in 24h trading volume ($25.9M) aligns with increased selling activity. Historical patterns show similar post-airdrop dips, like the 18% drop after its June 2025 birthday airdrop ([AMBCrypto](https://ambcrypto.com/top-9-play-to-earn-nft-games-of-august-2025/)).

**What to look out for:** Monitoring exchange inflows and whale wallets for further sell-side pressure.

### 2. Partnership Momentum Fades (Bearish Impact)  
**Overview:** The July 2025 collaboration with Pudgy Penguins (integrating 38,295 NFTs into the game) initially boosted user growth (82,000 new accounts) but failed to sustain momentum.

**What this means:** Partnerships often trigger short-term speculation rather than lasting adoption. ALICE’s price peaked at $0.421 on July 17 post-announcement but has since declined 30%, reflecting dwindling hype. The lack of follow-up updates since the EthCC 2025 event (July 17–19) exacerbated the slide.

### 3. Technical Weakness (Mixed Impact)  
**Overview:** ALICE trades at $0.294, below all key moving averages (7-day SMA: $0.3338; 30-day SMA: $0.3618). The RSI-7 (21.11) signals extreme oversold conditions, but MACD remains bearish (histogram: -0.00718).

**What this means:** While oversold RSI hints at potential relief, the absence of bullish divergence and persistent selling pressure (price below $0.30 Fibonacci support) suggests caution. A close above $0.32 (38.2% retracement) could signal stabilization.

## Conclusion  
ALICE’s drop reflects a mix of profit-taking from airdrops, fading partnership-driven optimism, and bearish technical alignment. The token’s heavy reliance on metaverse/gaming narratives leaves it vulnerable during broader market fear (CMC Fear & Greed Index: 32). **Key watch:** Can ALICE hold the $0.29–$0.30 support zone, or will breaking this level trigger another leg down?

Latest MyNeighborAlice (ALICE) Price Analysis

Why is ALICE’s price up today? (28/09/2025)

TLDR

Deep Dive

1. In-Game Activity Surge (Bullish Impact)

2. Strategic NFT Partnerships (Mixed Impact)

3. Technical Support Holds (Neutral)

Conclusion

Why is ALICE’s price down today? (26/09/2025)

TLDR

Deep Dive

1. Airdrop Sell Pressure (Bearish Impact)

2. Partnership Momentum Fades (Bearish Impact)

3. Technical Weakness (Mixed Impact)

Conclusion