Latest Notcoin (NOT) Price Analysis

Deep Dive

1. Technical Resistance (Bearish Impact)

Overview:
Notcoin faced rejection at its 7-day SMA ($0.00161) and pivot point ($0.00162), with the RSI-14 at 42.24 signaling weakening momentum. The price remains below the 30-day EMA ($0.001736), confirming bearish structure.

What this means:
Technical traders likely sold near resistance levels, accelerating the dip. The MACD histogram’s near-zero reading (+0.000000176) shows no strong bullish reversal signal. Immediate support sits at $0.001593 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement).

What to watch:
A daily close below $0.001593 could trigger algorithmic sell orders targeting the June 2025 low of $0.001467.

2. Sector-Specific Headwinds (Mixed Impact)

Overview:
The TON ecosystem saw capital rotate toward newly launched projects like 0G ($3.3B volume surge post-mainnet) and Hamster Kombat’s decline (-90% YTD), creating indirect pressure on NOT.

What this means:
While Notcoin retains 2.8M on-chain holders (CoinJournal), its status as a legacy "tap-to-earn" token makes it vulnerable to narrative shifts. The 24h volume-to-market cap ratio of 13.45% (vs. sector average 8.2%) suggests speculative churn rather than organic demand.

Conclusion

Notcoin’s dip reflects technical headwinds and ecosystem rotation, compounded by thin liquidity ($21.6M daily volume). While 97% of its max supply is circulating reduces inflation risk, the token needs renewed utility (e.g., GameFi integrations) to reverse sentiment.

Key watch: Can NOT hold above the $0.00159 Fibonacci support amid rising BTC dominance (58.21%)? Monitor TON’s developer activity for ecosystem catalysts.

Deep Dive

1. Technical Rebound (Mixed Impact)

Overview:
NOT rebounded from its September 22 low of $0.0016, with RSI (34.94) recovering from oversold levels. The MACD histogram flattened (-0.00000622), signaling reduced bearish momentum.

What this means:
Traders interpreted sub-$0.0016 levels as unsustainable given NOT’s 97% circulating supply and historical support near $0.00155. However, the price remains below key averages (7-day SMA: $0.00158), suggesting weak structural recovery.

What to look out for:
A close above $0.00187 (September 13 high) could signal momentum shift, while failure at $0.00155 risks new lows.

2. TON Ecosystem Momentum (Bullish Impact)

Overview:
The TON blockchain saw renewed interest with Hamster Kombat’s Guinness World Record (45M YouTube subs) and CoinRabbit’s new $NOT collateral feature.

What this means:
Telegram’s 900M-user ecosystem drives speculative flows into TON projects. NOT benefits as the first viral token in this vertical, though competition from newer games like Hamster Kombat limits upside.

3. Buyback Program (Bullish Impact)

Overview:
Notcoin’s Visa card partnership reinvests 0.7% of transactions into $NOT buybacks, creating micro-demand.

What this means:
While the program’s $27M daily volume impact is minimal (0.017% of market cap), it reinforces holder psychology and reduces sell pressure.

Conclusion

Notcoin’s rebound reflects technical bargain-hunting and TON’s resurgent social narrative, but thin liquidity and absent fundamentals cap gains. Key watch: Can NOT hold $0.00166 support amid Bitcoin’s neutral market dominance (57.98%)? Monitor TON ecosystem developments and NOT’s RSI stability above 40 for directional cues.