Latest Numbers Protocol (NUM) Price Analysis

Deep Dive

1. Technical Weakness (Bearish Impact)

Overview: NUM trades at $0.0124, below its 7-day SMA ($0.013175) and 30-day SMA ($0.013846). The RSI-7 (33.9) nears oversold territory but hasn’t triggered a reversal signal.

What this means: Sustained trading below moving averages reflects weak buying interest. The MACD histogram’s slight uptick (+0.000062) hints at potential stabilization but lacks confirmation from volume or sentiment.

What to look out for: A close above the 7-day SMA ($0.013175) to signal short-term trend reversal.

2. Faded AI Token Momentum (Mixed Impact)

Overview: NUM surged 320% YTD but has retreated 73% from its 2025 high. While Coingabbar highlighted its AI data verification use case in August 2025, recent AI token rotations favored larger caps like FET (+331% YTD).

What this means: Retail interest in sub-$1 AI tokens has cooled since August, with NUM’s AWS partnership and Keke AI integration failing to sustain momentum.

3. Market-Wide Risk Aversion (Bearish Impact)

Overview: Crypto fear/greed sits at 32 (“Fear”), while Bitcoin dominance holds at 57.8%, reducing altcoin appeal. NUM’s 24h volume surged to $1.4M (+49%), but turnover (volume/market cap) remains low at 0.137, indicating thin liquidity amplifies volatility.

What this means: Traders likely rotated to safer assets amid muted altcoin season signals (CMC Altcoin Season Index: 70, neutral).

Conclusion

NUM’s decline reflects technical headwinds, sector rotation, and broader risk aversion. While oversold RSI levels could invite dip-buying, reclaiming $0.0132 is critical for bullish momentum.

Key watch: Can NUM hold above its 24h low ($0.012331) amid rising BTC dominance?

Deep Dive

1. AI Token Momentum (Bullish Impact)

Overview: NUM was spotlighted in a 7 August 2025 Coingabbar article as a top AI token under $1, emphasizing its role in on-chain data verification and AWS partnership. The piece cited NUM’s 320% ROI since January 2025, resonating with retail investors seeking low-cap AI narratives.

What this means: Positive media exposure likely drove speculative inflows, particularly given NUM’s accessibility at $0.0131. The token’s AIaaS (AI-as-a-Service) utility via Keke AI workflows (1 NUM per agent) adds tangible use-case appeal.

What to watch: Sustained traction in NUM’s AI agent adoption and AWS collaboration updates.

2. Technical Rebound (Mixed Impact)

Overview: NUM’s RSI-7 (33.59) and RSI-14 (34.78) hover near oversold thresholds (30), while the MACD histogram turned positive (+0.00006279) for the first time in two weeks.

What this means: Traders may interpret oversold conditions as a buying signal, but resistance looms at the 7-day SMA ($0.0133). The 200-day SMA ($0.0194) remains 48% above current prices, reflecting long-term bearish pressure.

Key level: A close above $0.0133 could signal short-term momentum; failure may retest the 24 July low of $0.0123.

3. Volume Surge (Neutral Impact)

Overview: NUM’s 24h volume surged to $1.39M (+169%), with turnover (volume/market cap) at 12.8% – above the 10% liquidity benchmark.

What this means: Elevated volume suggests increased trader interest, but the rally lacks confirmation: NUM remains 25% below its 200-day EMA ($0.0226), and open interest derivatives data is unavailable to assess leverage-driven activity.

Conclusion

NUM’s minor rebound aligns with AI narrative tailwinds and oversold technicals but faces stiff resistance amid broader bearish trends. Retail FOMO from media coverage and low price points may fuel volatility, though sustained recovery requires stronger fundamentals.

Key watch: Can NUM hold above its 7-day SMA ($0.0133) to confirm bullish momentum, or will macro headwinds drag it back toward yearly lows?