OKB (OKB) Price Prediction

Deep Dive

1. Tokenomics Overhaul (Bullish Impact)

Overview:
OKX permanently burned 65.26M OKB (~52% of circulating supply) on August 15, 2025, capping total supply at 21M. This mirrors Bitcoin’s scarcity model and reduces sell pressure. Institutional inflows surged, with $1B OKB moved to OKX wallets post-burn.

What this means:
Scarcity-driven demand could drive prices higher, especially with OKB’s 30-day rally of 305% already reflecting optimism. Historical burns (279M OKB since 2019) have shown strong price correlations.

2. X Layer Ecosystem Growth (Mixed Impact)

Overview:
OKX’s X Layer upgrade (completed August 5, 2025) boosted throughput to 5,000 TPS and slashed fees. It integrates with OKX Wallet, Exchange, and Pay, targeting DeFi and real-world assets. However, OKTChain’s retirement by 2026 introduces migration risks.

What this means:
Increased utility as X Layer’s gas token could boost demand, but adoption depends on developer traction. For example, trading volume spiked 19,007% post-upgrade, yet RSI14 at 91.08 signals overbought risks.

3. Technical and Sentiment Risks (Bearish Impact)

Overview:
OKB faces resistance at $200.8 (1h chart). A breakout could target $260 short-term or $400 long-term, per XuanJin OKX Feed. However, MACD shows bearish divergence (-4.45 histogram), and derivatives open interest surged 239% during recent volatility.

What this means:
High leverage amplifies downside risk if bullish momentum stalls. The Fear & Greed Index at 41 (Neutral) suggests cautious retail sentiment, while whale accumulation could stabilize prices.

Conclusion

OKB’s deflationary tokenomics and X Layer utility create a bullish base, but technical resistance and regulatory headwinds (e.g., Thailand/Philippines crackdowns) warrant caution. Watch the $200.8 level: a breakout could validate bullish targets, while failure may trigger profit-taking. Will X Layer’s DeFi adoption outpace market-wide liquidity declines?