[Fake] PUMP FUN (PUMP) Price Prediction

Deep Dive

1. Buyback Volatility (Mixed Impact)

Overview:
Pump.fun has repurchased 7.66B PUMP ($30.65M) since July 2025, temporarily boosting prices by 16–27% during buyback waves. However, daily platform revenue fell from $7M in January to $250K by August, raising doubts about funding future buybacks at current rates.

What this means:
While buybacks reduce circulating supply and create artificial demand, declining revenue could force reduced repurchases, exposing PUMP to downside if speculative traders exit.

2. Launchpad Wars (Bearish Impact)

Overview:
Pump.fun’s dominance in Solana meme token launches dropped to 67% in August from 74% in July as LetsBonk gained traction. Daily token launches fell 35% month-over-month, signaling cooling interest in its ecosystem.

What this means:
Fewer token launches reduce protocol fees (PUMP’s primary revenue source), weakening the token’s utility-driven demand. A sustained shift to rivals could trigger a re-rating of PUMP’s valuation.

3. Whale Unlocks (Bearish Impact)

Overview:
Five wallets liquidated 1.25B PUMP ($4.06M) on Kraken in early August, contributing to a 72% price drop from July’s peak. Similar sell-offs occurred in July when private investors dumped tokens post-ICO.

What this means:
With 33% of PUMP’s supply held by early backers, further unlocks could flood markets, especially if sentiment sours. Monitoring exchange inflows for large transfers remains critical.

Conclusion

PUMP’s trajectory balances aggressive tokenomics against meme coin fatigue and whale-driven volatility. While buybacks and platform upgrades offer short-term catalysts, declining revenue and competitor pressure cloud its long-term viability.

What’s the next critical signal? Can Pump.fun’s Glass Full Foundation revive developer activity, or will LetsBonk’s rise accelerate PUMP’s erosion?