TLDR
Qubic’s price fell 9.57% in the past 24h, underperforming the broader crypto market (-0.38%). Key drivers include security concerns over its Dogecoin-targeted mining plan, profit-taking after its first halving, and bearish technical signals.
- Dogecoin Mining Threat – Qubic’s community voted to mine DOGE, sparking fears of a 51% attack and market backlash.
- Halving Sell-Off – Qubic’s first halving triggered short-term profit-taking despite long-term scarcity benefits.
- Technical Weakness – Bearish momentum signals (RSI, MACD) aligned with broader crypto risk-off sentiment.
Deep Dive
1. Dogecoin Mining Plan (Bearish Impact)
Overview:
Qubic’s community voted to mine Dogecoin after its controversial 51% attack on Monero, raising fears of similar disruption to DOGE’s $35B network. While Qubic claims this is a “proof-of-concept,” Dogecoin’s merge-mined structure with Litecoin makes a takeover highly improbable.
What this means:
The announcement triggered panic selling in both DOGE (-5%) and QUBIC, as traders priced in potential regulatory scrutiny and reputational damage. Qubic’s aggressive strategy risks alienating miners and investors wary of centralization threats to established chains.
What to watch:
Whether Qubic scales back its Dogecoin mining plans or faces exchange delistings due to perceived network attacks.
2. Post-Halving Profit-Taking (Bearish Impact)
Overview:
Qubic completed its first halving on August 19, reducing block rewards to increase scarcity. Despite this bullish catalyst, the price dropped 9.57% as traders sold the news.
What this means:
Short-term holders likely liquidated positions after the halving hype, amplified by Qubic’s high 90-day returns (+89.08%). The 24h turnover ratio of 0.0216 confirms thin liquidity exacerbated the sell-off.
What to watch:
On-chain metrics like burn rate and miner activity to gauge long-term supply/demand balance.
3. Technical & Market Sentiment (Bearish Impact)
Overview:
Qubic’s price broke below key Fibonacci support at $0.00000264 (50% retracement level). The MACD histogram turned negative (-0.000000015371), signaling bearish momentum, while the 24h RSI (56.51) cooled from overbought levels.
What this means:
Technical traders likely accelerated selling as Qubic underperformed Bitcoin (+58.73% dominance) and Ethereum (+13.39% dominance) during a risk-off altcoin market (Altcoin Season Index at 41, down 25% monthly).
Conclusion
Qubic’s drop reflects a mix of project-specific risks (controversial mining strategy) and broader headwinds (post-halving volatility, altcoin weakness). While its long-term compute-powered AGI vision remains intact, the aggressive Monero/DOGE campaigns have introduced short-term uncertainty.
Key watch: Can Qubic stabilize above the 200-day EMA ($0.00000186) to avoid a deeper correction? Monitor mining profitability reports and DOGE network stability for directional cues.