Question 1

Why is QUBIC’s price down today? (21/09/2025)

Accepted Answer

## TLDR  
**Qubic fell 2.14% in 24h**, extending a 30% monthly decline. Key drivers:

1. **Community backlash** over Qubic’s plan to target Dogecoin mining after its Monero attack  
2. **Technical weakness** with key indicators signaling bearish momentum  
3. **Halving event uncertainty** ahead of today’s supply cut

---

## Deep Dive

### 1. Dogecoin Mining Target (Bearish Impact)  
**Overview:**  
Qubic’s community voted to redirect mining power toward Dogecoin ([CoinDesk](https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2025/08/20/qubic-s-51-attack-plans-trigger-doge-crash-futures-open-interest-drops-8)), mirroring its controversial 51% attack on Monero in August. This sparked fears of market destabilization and regulatory scrutiny.

**What this means:**  
Investors perceive Qubic’s strategy as high-risk, potentially alienating partners and attracting negative attention. Dogecoin’s 5% drop on the news dragged sentiment across proof-of-work tokens, including QUBIC.

**What to look out for:**  
Confirmation of Dogecoin attack timelines and exchange reactions (e.g., deposit freezes).

---

### 2. Technical Breakdown (Bearish Impact)  
**Overview:**  
QUBIC trades below critical moving averages (7-day SMA: $0.00000203) with bearish MACD divergence. RSI-14 at 35.31 suggests room for further downside before oversold conditions.

**What this means:**  
The breakdown below the $0.00000186 pivot point triggered stop-losses, amplifying selling. Immediate support lies at the 200-day SMA ($0.00000167), but a close below could invite a 10% retest of July lows.

---

### 3. Halving Volatility (Mixed Impact)  
**Overview:**  
Qubic’s first halving on August 20 will slash block rewards by 50% – its largest supply reduction ever. Historically, such events create near-term uncertainty despite being structurally bullish.

**What this means:**  
Traders may be front-running the halving, locking in profits after QUBIC’s 30% 90-day rally. Post-halving miner sell-pressure reduction could stabilize prices if demand rebounds.

---

## Conclusion  
Qubic’s price reflects a clash between bearish sentiment around its adversarial mining strategy and potential halving-driven supply shocks. While technicals favor shorts, today’s halving could mark a volatility inflection point.

**Key watch:** Will Qubic’s post-halving tokenomics offset reputational risks from its Dogecoin pivot?

Question 2

Why is QUBIC’s price up today? (18/09/2025)

Accepted Answer

## TLDR  
**Qubic (QUBIC) fell 1.34% over the last 24h**, underperforming the broader crypto market (+2.14%). However, recent developments around its **mining ecosystem** and **Monero attack aftermath** may explain reduced selling pressure compared to steeper 30-day losses (-27.6%).

1. **Mining Profitability Surge** – Qubic’s CPU mining rewards remain 3x more profitable than Monero, incentivizing network participation.  
2. **Halving Catalyst** – The first Qubic halving occurred on August 20, reducing sell-side pressure from miners.  
3. **Market Sentiment Shift** – Altcoin season index rose 68.9% in 30 days, favoring high-beta tokens like QUBIC.

---

## Deep Dive

### 1. Mining Economics (Bullish Impact)  
**Overview:** Qubic’s Useful Proof-of-Work (uPoW) model converts 50% of mined Monero (XMR) into QUBIC buybacks and burns, creating a deflationary loop. Mining profitability reports show QUBIC yields ~3x higher returns than direct XMR mining ([August 14](https://x.com/_Qubic_/status/1955967236289503444)).

**What this means:**  
- High profitability attracts miners, reducing circulating supply as rewards are burned.  
- The recent halving (August 20) further tightens emissions, countering inflation from its 125T circulating supply.

**What to watch:** Burn rate trends and XMR/QUBIC mining profitability spreads.

---

### 2. Post-Monero Attack Positioning (Mixed Impact)  
**Overview:** After Qubic’s controversial 51% attack on Monero (August 12-18), its community voted to target Dogecoin next, sparking debates about PoW security and Qubic’s technical capabilities ([Decrypt](https://decrypt.co/335685/after-attacking-monero-qubic-sets-sights-dogecoin)).

**What this means:**  
- **Bullish:** Demonstrated hashpower dominance raised Qubic’s visibility, with its market cap peaking at $363M post-attack.  
- **Bearish:** Regulatory scrutiny and ethical concerns linger, with Kraken suspending XMR deposits during the attack.

---

### 3. Altcoin Season Tailwinds (Bullish Impact)  
**Overview:** The CMC Altcoin Season Index surged to 76 (from 45 in August), signaling capital rotation into smaller caps. QUBIC’s 90-day gain of 33.86% aligns with this trend.

**What this means:**  
- Traders may be accumulating QUBIC as a high-risk/reward play during market-wide risk-on sentiment.  
- Low liquidity (turnover 1.67%) amplifies volatility, enabling sharper rebounds on minimal buying pressure.

---

## Conclusion  
Qubic’s price action reflects a tug-of-war between strong miner incentives, controversial network attacks, and broader altcoin momentum. While the 24h dip aligns with profit-taking, the halving and mining rewards structure provide fundamental support.

**Key watch:** Qubic’s progress on its Dogecoin mining plans – a successful pivot could validate its uPoW model, while failure may reignite security concerns.

Latest Qubic (QUBIC) Price Analysis

Why is QUBIC’s price down today? (21/09/2025)

TLDR

Deep Dive

1. Dogecoin Mining Target (Bearish Impact)

2. Technical Breakdown (Bearish Impact)

3. Halving Volatility (Mixed Impact)

Conclusion

Why is QUBIC’s price up today? (18/09/2025)

TLDR

Deep Dive

1. Mining Economics (Bullish Impact)

2. Post-Monero Attack Positioning (Mixed Impact)

3. Altcoin Season Tailwinds (Bullish Impact)

Conclusion

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