TLDR Qubic’s price faces volatility from aggressive tokenomics shifts and high-stakes network experiments.
- Halving Proposal – Epoch 175 vote could slash supply but risks miner exodus.
- Network Attacks – Dogecoin-targeted PoW experiments threaten reputational blowback.
- Regulatory Heat – Monero 51% attack invites scrutiny over blockchain ethics.
Deep Dive
1. Halving Proposal (Mixed Impact)
Overview: Qubic’s Epoch 175 halving proposal (mid-August 2025) aims to cut weekly emissions from 900B to 425B QUBIC via a 57.5% burn rate. If approved, annual emissions drop to ~21.25T, delaying max supply cap breach by 4 years. Failure risks miner reward depletion and accelerated inflation.
What this means: Approval could boost scarcity (bullish), but miners may resist reduced rewards, risking network security. Historical 90-day price volatility (99.63%) suggests sensitivity to supply shocks.
2. Proof-of-Work Dominance Plays (Bearish Risk)
Overview: Qubic’s community voted to redirect hashpower toward Dogecoin after claiming a 51% attack on Monero (XMR). While DOGE’s merge-mined structure makes an attack unlikely, the initiative has already triggered DOGE sell-offs and raised ethical concerns (Coindesk).
What this means: Failed attacks could erode trust in Qubic’s governance, while success might attract regulatory scrutiny. QUBIC’s 5% 24h price gain (vs. DOGE’s 5% drop) shows asymmetric risk exposure.
3. Regulatory & Security Backlash (Bearish Catalyst)
Overview: Qubic’s Monero takeover led Kraken to suspend XMR deposits, signaling exchange distrust in networks vulnerable to PoW attacks. SEC’s recent XRP ETF delays and security audits highlight growing regulatory focus on network integrity.
What this means: Perceived as a “disruptor,” Qubic risks exchange delistings or compliance hurdles. Turnover (3.68%) indicates thin liquidity, amplifying downside if sentiment sours.
Conclusion
QUBIC’s price hinges on the halving vote outcome and whether its PoW experiments evolve into sustainable utility or regulatory liabilities. Technicals lean bearish (RSI 44.57, MACD negative), but deflationary tokenomics could stabilize long-term value. Watch Epoch 175 governance results and DOGE attack feasibility – will miners embrace scarcity, or will ethical concerns cap upside?