Latest Radiant Capital (RDNT) Price Analysis

Deep Dive

1. Hacker Activity Renews Security Fears (Bearish Impact)

Overview: The October 2024 hacker, linked to North Korea’s AppleJeus group, sold 9,631 ETH (~$43.9M) since August 12 (Lookonchain), converting proceeds to DAI. While ETH sales don’t directly affect RDNT’s supply, the visibility of stolen funds being liquidated has reignited concerns about Radiant’s historical vulnerabilities.

What this means: Persistent exploit-related headlines erode confidence in DeFi protocols, particularly those with prior breaches. Radiant’s price often reacts to updates about the hacker’s movements, as seen in August’s 10% drop during initial ETH sell-offs.

What to look out for: Further ETH liquidation by the hacker (holds 12,326 ETH worth ~$58.6M) or delays in Radiant’s Q3/Q4 2025 user reimbursement plan.

2. Exchange Delisting Reduces Accessibility (Bearish Impact)

Overview: Crypto.com delisted RDNT on July 4, 2025, citing compliance reviews. This followed a 45% volume decline on the platform pre-delisting.

What this means: Reduced exchange access limits retail participation and institutional interest. RDNT’s 24h volume ($4.73M) remains 15% below its 30-day average, signaling thinner liquidity that amplifies price swings.

3. Technical Indicators Signal Cooling Momentum (Mixed Impact)

Overview: RDNT’s 14-day RSI (59) retreated from overbought levels (79 on August 10), while the MACD histogram (+0.000313) suggests fading bullish momentum.

What this means: The pullback aligns with profit-taking after a 5.91% weekly gain. However, the price ($0.0219) holds above the 30-day SMA ($0.0214), indicating underlying support.

Key threshold: A break below $0.0214 could trigger further selling toward the 200-day SMA ($0.0233).

Conclusion

RDNT’s drop reflects a mix of exploit-related sentiment, reduced exchange support, and technical recalibration. While security upgrades and planned reimbursements offer long-term recovery potential, short-term risks persist from hacker-linked volatility.

Key watch: Can RDNT hold $0.0214 support amid broader market neutrality (Fear & Greed Index: 52)?

Deep Dive

1. Ethereum Synergy (Bullish Impact)

Overview: Ethereum’s 126% rally since June 2025 has lifted DeFi tokens like RDNT, with ETH exchange reserves at multi-year lows signaling long-term holding. Radiant’s Ethereum-based lending markets saw 58% utilization, correlating with ETH’s price action.

What this means: RDNT’s multi-chain BTC/ETH lending model directly ties to Ethereum’s network effects. As ETH’s valuation crossed $500B, capital rotated into complementary DeFi protocols.

What to look out for: Sustained ETH price above $4,500 could drive further RDNT demand as collateral usage grows.

2. Post-Hack Recovery Progress (Mixed Impact)

Overview: Radiant’s October 2024 $53M hack saw stolen ETH nearly double in value, but the project implemented stricter multisig controls, audits, and a DAO-approved remediation plan. First payouts to affected users are scheduled for late 2025.

What this means: While the exploit remains a liability, proactive measures like the Guardian Fund (protocol-backed insurance) and FBI collaboration mitigate reputational damage. Recent social media updates emphasize transparency, which may have contributed to the rally.

3. Technical Momentum (Bullish, High Risk)

Overview: RDNT’s 7-day RSI (72.85) entered overbought territory, while the MACD histogram turned positive (+0.00026892). The price broke above its 30-day SMA ($0.021361), confirming short-term bullish momentum.

What this means: Traders may be front-running a potential altcoin season (CMC Altcoin Season Index at 72, +71% monthly). However, the 200-day EMA ($0.028591) at $0.0228 poses resistance – a close above could signal extended gains.

Conclusion

RDNT’s rise reflects Ethereum’s strength, partial recovery from past security issues, and technical momentum. While bullish, the overbought RSI and unresolved hacker wallet ($94M in ETH/DAI) warrant caution.

Key watch: Can RDNT hold above its 200-day EMA ($0.0228) amid ETH’s $4,700 volatility?