Radiant Capital (RDNT) Price Prediction

Deep Dive

1. Security Upgrades & Remediation (Mixed Impact)

Overview:
Radiant’s DAO introduced a remediation plan after the October 2024 hack, including a protocol-backed Guardian Fund and Q3/Q4 2025 user reimbursements. Security measures like multi-sig reinforcement and expanded audits aim to prevent future breaches.

What this means:
Successful payouts could restore confidence, but delays or incomplete compensation may prolong reputational damage. The 77% yearly price drop reflects lingering skepticism, though RSI (45) suggests oversold conditions.

2. Hacker Liquidation Risks (Bearish Impact)

Overview:
The attacker converted $53M stolen assets into 21,957 ETH, now worth ~$95M. Recent sales (e.g., 9,631 ETH for $43.9M DAI in August 2025) signal ongoing sell pressure, with 12,326 ETH ($58.6M) still held (Lookonchain).

What this means:
Large ETH→DAI conversions could depress Ethereum’s price, indirectly hurting RDNT due to its ETH-centric lending markets. Further liquidations may amplify volatility.

3. DeFi Adoption vs. Competition (Neutral Impact)

Overview:
Radiant supports BTC/ETH lending across Ethereum, Arbitrum, BSC, and Base, but borrow demand remains concentrated in ETH (46%) and stables (42%). Competitors like Aave dominate cross-chain TVL, while RDNT’s $24.6M market cap trails sector leaders.

What this means:
ETH’s price strength (up 93% since the hack) boosts collateral values, but Radiant needs higher utilization rates (>58% on Ethereum) to differentiate.

Conclusion

RDNT’s price hinges on execution of its security roadmap, Ethereum’s market stability, and DeFi’s risk appetite. The token’s 90-day volatility (-1.53%) masks underlying risks from hacker moves and thin liquidity.

Will the Guardian Fund’s launch in late 2025 finally shift sentiment from “recovery” to “growth”?