RACA (RACA) Price Prediction

TLDR RACA’s price outlook hinges on metaverse execution and market sentiment shifts.
1. USM Metaverse Adoption – Progress in NFT/metaverse utility could drive demand
2. Altcoin Market Rotation – Rising altcoin season index signals potential tailwinds
3. Refund Event Fallout – July 2025 campaign refunds may pressure short-term sentiment

Deep Dive

1. USM Metaverse Execution (Mixed Impact)

Overview:
RACA’s USM Metaverse and NFT marketplace remain central to its value proposition, though the project’s website shows no major updates since 2023 branding materials. Successful product launches or partnerships in this competitive sector could boost utility demand.

What this means:
Bullish potential exists if RACA demonstrates tangible metaverse adoption metrics (user growth, NFT sales), but bearish risks emerge if development stalls while rivals like Decentraland advance. The 200-day SMA at $0.00008026 represents a +34% upside barrier.

2. Altcoin Liquidity Rotation (Bullish Impact)

Overview:
The CMC Altcoin Season Index rose 8.33% in 24 hours to 52 (neutral), while total crypto market cap gained 4.65% (CoinMarketCap). RACA’s 24h volume surged 50% to $6.16M, though its $24.6M market cap remains microcap-tier.

What this means:
Improving altcoin liquidity could amplify RACA’s volatility – the token’s 90-day beta of -25% vs BTC suggests decoupling potential during risk-on rotations. However, thin $5.47B futures open interest sector-wide (CMC data) leaves it exposed to broader sentiment swings.

3. Post-Campaign Refund Dynamics (Bearish Impact)

Overview:
RACA initiated refunds on 22 July 2025 after a political campaign partnership dissolved (Cointelegraph), creating sell pressure from returned tokens. Prices fell 4.37% in 30 days post-event.

What this means:
Near-term overhead supply persists – 411.67B circulating tokens at $0.0000598 face dilution risk if refund recipients offload. The RSI-14 at 51.33 shows neutral momentum, but MACD (-0.000000567) hints at bearish divergence.

Conclusion

RACA’s path depends on balancing metaverse progress against post-refund token dynamics, with altcoin liquidity as an external amplifier. Traders should monitor whether the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement ($0.00006168) becomes support or resistance. Can USM’s NFT metrics offset the circulating supply overhang?