Rocket Pool (RPL) Price Prediction

Deep Dive

1. Saturn Upgrade & rETH Adoption (Bullish Impact)

Overview: Rocket Pool’s Saturn upgrade (in devnet testing as of August 2025) introduces 4 ETH validators and “MEGAPOOLS” to reduce node operator costs. Concurrently, RockSolid’s $2.8M-funded rETH vaults (The Block) aim to simplify DeFi integration for institutions, potentially increasing rETH demand.

What this means: Lower validator entry barriers could expand Rocket Pool’s node network, while institutional vault products may drive rETH adoption. Historically, TVL growth (45% surge in June 2025) correlated with RPL price rallies.

2. Ethereum’s Fusaka Upgrade (Mixed Impact)

Overview: Ethereum’s Fusaka upgrade (December 3, 2025) introduces PeerDAS to reduce Layer-2 data costs, potentially boosting staking activity. However, past upgrades like Shanghai saw post-event sell-offs as traders took profits.

What this means: While Fusaka could increase ETH staking demand (benefiting Rocket Pool’s rETH), short-term volatility is likely. RPL’s 30-day -22.58% drop suggests sensitivity to ETH’s price swings, which may persist post-upgrade.

3. Regulatory Tailwinds (Bullish Impact)

Overview: The SEC’s August 2025 guidance clarified that non-custodial liquid staking (like Rocket Pool’s rETH) isn’t a security, removing a key regulatory overhang.

What this means: Compliance clarity could attract institutional stakers. Rocket Pool’s decentralized model contrasts with semi-centralized rivals like Lido, positioning RPL as a regulatory “safe haven” – critical as ETH ETF inflows hit $9.2B (Crypto.news).

Conclusion

RPL’s price hinges on Ethereum’s staking growth post-Fusaka, Saturn’s mainnet success, and its ability to capitalize on regulatory wins. While technicals show oversold conditions (RSI 38–40), resistance looms at $6.58 (23.6% Fib). Watch rETH’s adoption rate: Can Rocket Pool close the gap against Lido’s 61% market share in liquid staking?