Latest Cloud (CLOUD) Price Analysis

By CMC AI
26 September 2025 01:49PM (UTC+0)

Why is CLOUD’s price down today? (26/09/2025)

TLDR

Cloud (CLOUD) fell 3.76% over the last 24h, underperforming the broader crypto market (-1.14%). The drop extends its 7-day decline (-24.42%) but contrasts with a 44.61% 30-day gain. Key drivers:

  1. Proposal CLOUD-005 Uncertainty – Early token unlocks risk near-term sell pressure.

  2. Technical Weakness – Price broke below critical support levels.

  3. Market-Wide Risk-Off Sentiment – Fear-driven liquidity shifts hurt altcoins.


Deep Dive

1. Proposal CLOUD-005 Liquidity Concerns (Bearish Impact)

Overview: A community proposal (CLOUD-005) seeks to let investors unlock vested tokens early by forfeiting 30% to the treasury. While designed to boost community ownership, traders fear short-term dilution.

What this means: If passed, unlocked tokens could hit exchanges, increasing supply amid weak demand. CLOUD’s turnover ratio (0.0965) already signals low liquidity, making it vulnerable to small sell orders.

What to watch: Voting outcome (expected by September 1) and on-chain wallet movements for early unlock participants.


2. Technical Breakdown (Bearish Momentum)

Overview: CLOUD broke below its 7-day SMA ($0.120) and 30-day SMA ($0.100), with the MACD histogram (-0.00256) confirming bearish momentum.

What this means: The price ($0.106) now tests the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level ($0.1005). A close below could trigger a drop toward $0.087 (78.6% Fib). The RSI (40–52 range) shows no oversold signal yet, leaving room for further downside.

Key level: A rebound above $0.109 (50% Fib) could stabilize sentiment.


3. Altcoin Weakness Amid Market Fear (Mixed Impact)

Overview: The crypto Fear & Greed Index fell to 32 (Extreme Fear) from 41 (Neutral) yesterday, with Bitcoin dominance rising to 58.2%.

What this means: Investors are rotating into BTC and stablecoins, pressuring altcoins like CLOUD. Solana ecosystem tokens also face headwinds despite Sanctum’s Gateway launch (August 28), as broader risk aversion overshadows project-specific news.


Conclusion

CLOUD’s drop reflects a mix of project-specific uncertainty (CLOUD-005), technical breakdowns, and market-wide risk aversion. While the proposal aims to strengthen long-term governance, traders are pricing in near-term dilution risks. Key watch: Monitor the $0.100 support level and CLOUD-005 voting turnout for directional cues.

Why is CLOUD’s price up today? (25/09/2025)

TLDR

Cloud (CLOUD) rose 8.30% over the last 24h, rebounding from a 16.46% weekly drop. The move diverges from the broader crypto market (-1.29%) and aligns with project-specific catalysts.

  1. CLOUD-005 Proposal – Investors may unlock tokens early with a 30% penalty, reducing sell pressure.

  2. Technical Rebound – Oversold RSI and key moving averages signal short-term buying interest.

  3. Fundamental Strength – Q2 growth and transparency metrics underpin confidence.

Deep Dive

1. CLOUD-005 Token Proposal (Mixed Impact)

Overview: Sanctum’s Proposal CLOUD-005, under discussion since August 12, allows investors to unlock vested tokens immediately by forfeiting 30% to the community treasury (Sanctum Community).

What this means: Early unlocks could reduce future sell pressure by accelerating token distribution, but the 30% penalty redirects tokens to community incentives, potentially stabilizing long-term supply dynamics. However, approval risks short-term volatility if large holders exit.

What to look out for: Final voting results and investor participation rates, expected within 24–48h.


2. Technical Rebound (Bullish Short-Term)

Overview: CLOUD’s RSI14 (51.83) exited oversold territory, while the price crossed above its 30-day SMA ($0.099071). The MACD histogram (-0.00173) shows bearish momentum fading.

What this means: Traders likely capitalized on the 16% weekly dip, viewing $0.10 as support. A sustained break above the 7-day SMA ($0.124) could signal further upside.

Key threshold: Watch $0.124 – a close above this level may confirm bullish reversal patterns.


3. Q2 Growth & Transparency (Bullish)

Overview: Sanctum reported a 42% Q2 increase in AUM (to $2B) and a perfect 40/40 score in Blockworks’ Token Transparency audit (Sanctum).

What this means: Strong fundamentals and institutional-grade transparency mitigate concerns about tokenomics, attracting holders amid broader market uncertainty.


Conclusion

CLOUD’s rebound reflects a mix of speculative trading, reduced supply risks from CLOUD-005, and confidence in its Solana-based infrastructure. While technicals suggest cautious optimism, governance decisions and Bitcoin’s price action (down 1.29% in 24h) remain swing factors.

Key watch: Will CLOUD-005 voting outcomes align with community expectations, or trigger profit-taking?

CMC AI can make mistakes. Not financial advice.