TLDR
Shiro Neko (SHIRO) fell 10.76% over the last 24h, underperforming the broader crypto market (-3.29%). This extends a 7-day decline of 24.59% but remains up 26.9% over 30 days. Key factors:
- Technical Breakdown – Bearish momentum confirmed by RSI and MACD
- Liquidity Shift – Bitcoin dominance rise (+57.76%) pressures altcoins
- News Lull – No major catalysts offsetting profit-taking
Deep Dive
1. Technical Breakdown (Bearish Impact)
Overview: SHIRO’s 24h drop aligns with bearish technical signals. The RSI-7 (33.34) nears oversold territory, while the MACD histogram (-0.00000000035942) confirms downward momentum. The price broke below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level ($0.0000000077737), a key support zone.
What this means: Technical traders likely interpreted the breakdown as a sell signal, exacerbating selling pressure. The lack of immediate support until $0.0000000064812 (78.6% Fib) leaves room for further downside.
What to look out for: A sustained close above $0.0000000073775 (7-day SMA) could signal stabilization.
2. Bitcoin Dominance Surge (Bearish Impact)
Overview: Bitcoin’s market share rose to 57.76% (+0.59% in 24h), its highest since June 2025. Meanwhile, the Altcoin Season Index remains neutral at 46, failing to spark rotation into riskier assets like memecoins.
What this means: Capital is flowing into Bitcoin amid macro uncertainty, starving altcoins of liquidity. SHIRO’s 24h volume of $1.32M (-10.76% vs market cap) reflects this squeeze.
Overview: While SHIRO announced a Solana bridge (July 8) and a Messier P2P partnership (August 4), no fresh developments emerged in the past week to counter selling pressure.
What this means: Early investors may be taking profits after the 30-day 26.9% gain, especially with SHIRO still 90% below its all-time high. Memecoins often rely on constant hype cycles to sustain momentum.
Conclusion
SHIRO’s decline reflects technical triggers, Bitcoin’s dominance streak, and a lull in project updates – a classic risk-off pattern for speculative altcoins. While oversold conditions could invite a bounce, the broader market’s risk appetite remains pivotal.
Key watch: Can SHIRO hold the 78.6% Fib level ($0.0000000064812), and will its upcoming charity initiative (announced August 16) reignite community engagement?