SOON (SOON) Price Prediction

Deep Dive

1. Ecosystem Growth Catalysts (Bullish Impact)

Overview: SOON launched its High-Performance Infra Stack and Perp Stack on 7 October 2025, enabling Solana-grade blockchain deployments for enterprises. The Aerodrome listing boosted liquidity, with $80M+ bridged via InterSOON. Technical analysis shows a bullish MACD crossover (0.157 vs 0.126 signal) and RSI(14) at 66.56 – room for upside before overbought.

What this means: Real-world adoption (10+ live chains, $51M svmBNB volume) could sustain demand if the team delivers on AI-focused SVM upgrades. However, the 0.43 turnover ratio suggests moderate liquidity risk during volatility.

2. Vesting Schedule Risks (Bearish Impact)

Overview: 39% of SOON's supply (312M tokens) is allocated to NFT holders with staggered unlocks:
- SOON-PILLED: 1Y lock + 3Y linear (250K tokens/NFT)
- SOON Squad: 6M lock + 12M linear (12.8K tokens/NFT)

The first major unlock hits in April 2026 when Round 1 participants gain liquidity.

What this means: Early backers acquired tokens at ~$0.06 via NFTs (vs current $0.839). A 14x paper profit could trigger sell pressure if ecosystem growth stalls before unlocks.

3. Sentiment & Macro Conditions (Mixed Impact)

Overview: Crypto fear index sits at 37 (neutral), while SOON's social volume spiked 82% post-Kraken listing. However, BTC dominance at 58.49% limits alt rallies. Derivatives open interest fell 6% last week, suggesting reduced leverage.

What this means: SOON's 180% 60-day gain makes it vulnerable to sector-wide pullbacks. Watch the 0.784 Fibonacci support – a break below could signal trend reversal.

Conclusion

SOON's price will likely swing between infrastructure milestones and unlock overhangs through Q1 2026. The 30D +168% rally prices in near-term optimism – sustainability hinges on mainnet adoption surpassing current $261M valuation. Can the team convert 350+ hackathon projects into enduring ecosystem activity before unlocks dilute demand?