Latest Starknet (STRK) Price Analysis

By CMC AI
30 September 2025 03:46AM (UTC+0)

Why is STRK’s price up today? (30/09/2025)

TLDR

Starknet (STRK) rose 1.89% over the last 24h, slightly outperforming the broader crypto market (+1.7%). Key drivers include:

  1. Bitcoin Staking Integration – STRK surged 7% on Sept 15 after enabling BTC holders to participate in network consensus.

  2. Institutional Adoption – Anchorage Digital added STRK custody/staking on Sept 4, boosting institutional access.

  3. Technical Rebound – STRK trades above its 7-day SMA ($0.1205), signaling short-term bullish momentum.

Deep Dive

1. Bitcoin Staking Launch (Bullish Impact)

Overview: Starknet activated Bitcoin staking on Sept 15 (Crypto.news), allowing WBTC, tBTC, and SolvBTC holders to earn STRK rewards. BTC stakers now hold 25% consensus power, while STRK retains 75%.

What this means:
- Attracts Bitcoin’s $2.1T market cap liquidity to Starknet’s DeFi ecosystem.
- Reduces unstaking period from 21 to 7 days, improving capital efficiency.
- SNIP-31 governance passed with 93% approval, signaling strong community alignment.

What to watch: BTC-staked TVL growth and STRK/BTC reward distribution dynamics.

2. Institutional Staking Support (Bullish Impact)

Overview: Anchorage Digital launched STRK custody and staking on Sept 4 (Nexus News), offering institutions a regulated avenue to earn yields (7.28% APR).

What this means:
- Validates STRK’s credibility as a staking asset.
- May reduce sell pressure by locking STRK in staking contracts.
- Follows SEC’s August guidance allowing “receipt tokens” for staked assets.

3. Technical Rebound (Mixed Impact)

Overview: STRK trades at $0.125, above its 7-day SMA ($0.1205) but below the 30-day SMA ($0.127). RSI14 (48.63) suggests neutral sentiment, while MACD (-0.0005591) shows mild bearish divergence.

What this means:
- Short-term traders may be capitalizing on the Bitcoin staking news.
- Resistance at $0.137 (Fibonacci 23.6% level) remains a key hurdle.

Conclusion

STRK’s 24h gain reflects optimism around Bitcoin integration and institutional adoption, countering broader market stagnation. However, technical indicators suggest caution amid lingering bearish pressure.

Key watch: Can STRK sustain momentum if BTC staking inflows underperform expectations? Monitor Starknet’s governance hub for updates on validator participation.

Why is STRK’s price down today? (28/09/2025)

TLDR

Starknet (STRK) edged up 0.65% in the last 24h but underperformed vs crypto markets (+1.18%). Key factors:

  1. Network instability – Post-upgrade outage on Sept 2 triggered chain reorg

  2. Staking dilution fears – New BTC stakers gain 25% influence, STRK dominance drops

  3. Technical weakness – Price below key moving averages, bearish MACD

Deep Dive

1. Post-Upgrade Instability (Bearish Impact)

Overview: Starknet's Sept 2 Grinta upgrade caused a 2-hour outage and chain reorganization, erasing transactions from blocks 1,960,612–1,960,649 (Blockworks). While service resumed, the incident raised concerns about network maturity.

What this means:
- Operational hiccups during major upgrades often trigger short-term selloffs
- Validator confidence dipped – 420M STRK remains staked (11% of supply), but no growth since July

Key metric: Monitor Starknet status page for sequencer uptime.

2. Bitcoin Staking Dynamics (Mixed Impact)

Overview: SNIP-31 enabled BTC staking (25% consensus power) on Sept 15, initially boosting STRK 7%. However, rewards for BTC stakers begin Sept 30, creating uncertainty.

What this means:
- Bullish: Attracts Bitcoin liquidity ($155M TVL inflow post-launch)
- Bearish: STRK’s governance share diluted from 100% → 75%, creating sell pressure from holders hedging dilution risk

Data point: 4.2B STRK staked vs 1.04B BTC-equivalent staked (Starknet announcement)

3. Technical Weakness (Bearish)

Overview: STRK trades below critical levels:
- $0.127 (30-day SMA) – 4.2% below
- $0.137 (200-day EMA) – 12.3% below

RSI-14 at 44.91 shows no oversold signal, while MACD histogram (-0.001439) confirms bearish momentum.

Historical pattern: STRK has failed 6/8 tests of $0.13 resistance since August.

Conclusion

STRK faces triple pressure from technical resistance, staking dilution concerns, and credibility tests after the Grinta incident. The 24h resilience (+0.65%) suggests markets are pricing in the Sept 30 BTC staking rewards launch, but sustained recovery needs clean network ops and DeFi TVL growth.

Key watch: Can STRK hold $0.1125 Fibonacci support if BTC staking inflows disappoint?

CMC AI can make mistakes. Not financial advice.