Starknet (STRK) Price Prediction

TLDR
Starknet's price faces a tug-of-war between protocol upgrades and token supply dynamics.
1. Upcoming v0.14.0 Upgrade (Sep 1) – Decentralized sequencing and fee reforms could boost adoption.
2. Token Unlock Schedule – 127M STRK/month unlocks until 2027 risk dilution.
3. Bitcoin Staking Integration – SNIP-31 approved, enabling BTC→STRK rewards (25% max influence).

Deep Dive

1. Protocol Upgrade Catalysts (Bullish Impact)

Overview:
The v0.14.0 upgrade launching September 1 introduces decentralized sequencers (Tendermint consensus), sub-second transaction pre-confirmations, and an EIP-1559-style fee market. These changes aim to reduce network reliance on StarkWare, improve user experience, and stabilize gas costs. A 15-minute outage is expected during deployment.

What this means:
Improved decentralization and faster finality could attract developers and users, driving demand for STRK as the native gas/fee token. Historically, successful L2 upgrades like Arbitrum Nitro correlated with 30-50% price rallies in the following quarter.

2. Token Supply Pressures (Bearish Impact)

Overview:
38.2% of STRK’s total supply (Early Contributors + Investors) unlocks monthly until March 2027. Since April 2024, ~64M STRK/month have entered circulation, escalating to 127M/month from April 2025. Only 38.3% of the 10B supply is currently circulating.

What this means:
Increased sell-side pressure from early backers could suppress prices. STRK’s 22% price decline since its June 2025 peak aligns with unlock-driven dilution. Monitoring on-chain wallet activity post-unlocks (15th monthly) is critical.

3. Bitcoin Staking Synergy (Mixed Impact)

Overview:
SNIP-31 allows staking tokenized BTC (WBTC, tBTC) on Starknet for STRK rewards, capped at 25% of validator power. Over 420M STRK (~12% of circulating supply) is already staked.

What this means:
While BTC inflows could strengthen network security and cross-chain appeal, the 75% STRK staking dominance requirement limits BTC’s impact. Success hinges on Bitcoiners adopting Starknet – a recent LBTC integration saw $200M daily volume, suggesting potential upside.

Conclusion

STRK’s trajectory balances technical momentum against inflationary risks. The September upgrade and BTC staking adoption offer bullish levers, but sustained unlocks may cap rallies. Watch STRK’s staking ratio (currently 12%) and v0.14.0’s post-launch network activity. Will Bitcoin’s gravitational pull outweigh dilution fears?