Deep Dive
1. Primary catalyst
The May 31, 2025 integration of Ethena’s USDe stablecoin (STON.fi) created immediate utility for STON.fi users, enabling:
- Single-action swaps between TON, USD₮, and USDe
- Customizable liquidity pools with Ethena points rewards
- Delta-neutral yield strategies attracting capital
This upgrade coincided with STON’s 24-hour volume surge to $1.02M (+800%), suggesting protocol activity directly influenced trading demand.
2. Technical context
STON shows mixed signals after a 40% monthly decline:
- Bullish: MACD histogram turned positive (+0.0106) for first time since June 12
- Caution: Price ($1.05) remains below 50-day SMA ($1.50) and 200-day SMA ($2.71)
- Momentum: RSI (38–49) exited oversold territory but hasn’t breached neutral 50 level
The bounce from $0.98 support aligns with Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level at $1.58, though upside appears limited without sustained volume.
Conclusion
STON.fi’s rally combines protocol-driven demand and technical mean reversion, though longer-term trends remain bearish. Can TON’s expanding DeFi ecosystem sustain liquidity inflows to counter STON’s 93% annual decline?