Sui (SUI) Price Prediction

Deep Dive

1. ETF Speculation (Bullish Impact)

Overview: The SEC is reviewing spot SUI ETF proposals from Canary Capital and 21Shares. Approval would mirror Bitcoin/ETH ETF trajectories, enabling regulated exposure. SUI futures open interest hit $1.2B in July 2025, signaling institutional positioning.

What this means: Approval could drive price toward $5–$6 (CCN), but delays (as seen with Litecoin’s ETF) may trigger volatility.

2. Ecosystem Momentum (Bullish Impact)

Overview: Sui’s TVL rebounded to $2.17B (+27% MoM) post-Cetus hack recovery, driven by BTCfi adoption and native stablecoins (suiUSDe, USDi). Partnerships with Google Cloud and Citadel Wallet’s Suiball hardware wallet enhance infrastructure.

What this means: Rising DeFi activity and enterprise adoption could sustain demand, offsetting macro headwinds. Technical targets suggest $4.80–$7.80 if bullish patterns hold (Yahoo Finance).

3. Token Unlocks (Bearish Impact)

Overview: 44M SUI ($193M at $3.58) unlocks on August 1, adding ~1.2% to circulating supply. Past unlocks (e.g., May 2025) triggered 15–20% corrections.

What this means: Sell pressure may test support at $3.20–$3.40. However, strong demand from protocols like Suilend (managing 25% of Sui’s TVL) could mitigate downside.

Conclusion

SUI’s price hinges on ETF decisions, ecosystem traction vs. token unlocks, and broader crypto sentiment. While technicals and DeFi growth favor upside, unlocks and regulatory delays pose near-term risks. Will SUI’s TVL growth outpace dilution from unlocks? Monitor ETF updates and on-chain whale activity for cues.